Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2009 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated September 2009)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Requirements / Sales 55 000 95 000 90 000 1 758 185 1 664 927 1 700 000
Available / Produced 91 700 82 500 77 500 494 557 565 181 665 334
Shortage / Imports (36 700) 12 500 12 500 1 263 628 1 099 746 1 034 666

2009/2010 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
AFMA Members 48 156 74 345 67 602 1 094 941 1 093 339 1 129 393
Non-AFMA Members 6 844 20 655 22 398 663 244 571 588 570 607
Total 55 000 95 000 90 000 1 758 185 1 664 927 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Sunflower oilcake 167 836 2.67 248 884 4.93 276 512 5.37
Groundnuts oilcake 0 0.00 1 0.00 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 752 073 15.35 716 143 14.18 686 348 13.33
Full fat soy 130 609 2.67 92 474 1.83 129 840 2.52
Cotton oilcake 19 068 0.39 19 886 0.39 19 416 0.38
Full fat cotton 9 074 0.19 4 902 0.10 4 236 0.08
Canola oilcake 2 963 0.06 2 147 0.04 2 084 0.04
Full fat canola 553 0.01 31 0.00 0 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 7 016 0.14 4 887 0.10 4 172 0.08
Maize Germ Oilcake 5 750 0.12 3 984 0.08 6 780 0.13
Total oilcake 1 094 941 22.34 1 093 339 21.65 1 129 393 20.91
Total maize products 2 627 498 53.61 2 844 879 52.46 2 832 635 52.45
Total fish-meal 48 156 1.12 74 345 1.47 67 602 1.25

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
AFMA raw material usage April 2009 to March 2010.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
RSA 85 000 75 000 70 000
Namibia ¹ 6 700 7 500 7 500
Total 91 700 82 500 77 500 (36 700) 12 500 12 500

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2009/2010 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2007/2008-2009/2010)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 54 1 216 344
Sunflower oilcake 138 558 296 520 367 618 103 987 68 234
Soy cake 115 200 240 000 904 214 925 270
– Full fat 138 000 88 000 104 377 4 302
– Beans 93 600
Cotton cake 32 500 51 500 32 500 109 988 81 778
– Full fat 35 000 33 338 20 151
Other 7 425 11
Canola 21 945 21 560 11 000
Lupins 13 300 14 000 14 000
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 494 557 565 181 665 334 1 263 673 1 099 746 1 034 666

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006-2009/2010 marketing season)
Crop 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
White maize 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 771 300
Yellow maize 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 810 000 5 220 000 4 912 550
Sorghum 260 000 96 000 176 000 255 000 265 200
Groundnuts 64 000 74 000 58 000 88 800 96 060
Sunflower 620 000 520 000 300 000 872 000 843 530
Soybeans 272 500 424 000 205 000 282 000 506 595
Cotton seed ¹ 37 804 25 962 19 525 17 378 14 898
Wheat 1 905 000 2 105 000 1 905 000 2 130 000 1 991 020
Canola 44 200 36 500 38 150 30 800 45 650

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First forecast for winter crops (26 August 2009) and seventh crop estimate for summer crops for the 2009/2010 marketing year (26 August 2009).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2009/2010 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 766 000 0 6 771 300 7 537 300
Yellow maize 819 000 0 4 912 550 5 731 550
Sorghum 63 000 5 000 265 200 333 200
Groundnuts 27 000 12 000 96 060 135 060
Sunflower 236 000 44 000 843 530 1 123 530
Soybeans 90 000 2 000 506 595 598 595
Wheat 509 000 1 000 000 2 130 000 3 639 000
Canola 10 900 0 30 800 41 700

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2004/2005-2009/2010 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
White maize 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000
Yellow maize 1 110 000 567 200 927 000 1 062 000 938 500
Sorghum 86 500 37 150 69 000 86 800 85 500
Groundnuts 40 000 48 550 40 770 54 200 54 550
Sunflower 460 000 472 480 316 350 564 300 635 800
Soybeans 150 000 240 570 183 000 165 400 237 750
Wheat 830 000 805 000 764 800 632 000 748 000 656 200
Canola 44 250 40 200 32 000 33 260 34 000 38 050
Total 4 420 750 3 244 150 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 694 250

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh area estimate to plant summer crops 2008/2009 production season (26 August 2009). Revised area to plant winter crops 2009 production season (26 August 2009).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September