Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2009 May

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated May 2009)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Requirements / Sales 60 000 55 000 95 000 1 635 526 1 758 185 1 700 000
Available / Produced 87 000 91 700 91 000 608 370 494 557 695 291
Shortage / Imports -27 000 -36 700 4 000 1 027 156 1 263 628 1 004 709

2008/2009 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
AFMA Members 37 871 48 156 81 118 1 063 945 1 094 941 1 086 642
Non-AFMA Members 22 129 6 844 13 882 571 581 663 244 613 358
Total 60 000 55 000 95 000 1 635 526 1 758 185 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Sunflower oilcake 169 172 3.79 167 836 2.67 246 490 4.87
Groundnuts oilcake 316 0.01 0 0.00 1 0.00
Soy oilcake 653 463 14.64 752 073 15.35 715 698 14.14
Full fat soy 183 047 4.10 130 609 2.67 87 890 1.74
Cotton oilcake 35 590 0.80 19 068 0.39 20 670 0.41
Full fat cotton 10 241 0.23 9 074 0.19 5 092 0.10
Canola oilcake 4 330 0.10 2 963 0.06 2 261 0.04
Full fat canola 3 757 0.08 553 0.01 37 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 4 029 0.09 7 016 0.14 4 898 0.10
Maize Germ Oilcake 2 859 0.06 5 750 0.12 3 604 0.07
Total oilcake 1 063 945 24.67 1 094 941 22.34 1 086 642 21.47
Total maize products 2 428 502 54.05 2 627 498 53.61 2 850 121 56.32
Total fish-meal 37 871 0.88 48 156 1.12 81 118 1.60

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
AFMA raw material usage April 2008 to March 2009.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
RSA 75 000 85 000 85 000
Namibia ¹ 12 000 6 700 6 000
Total 87 000 91 700 91 000 -27 000 -36 700 4 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2008/2009 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 2 515 54 540 344
Sunflower oilcake 199 500 138 558 371 935 68 808 103 987
Soy cake 113 440 115 200 258 396 808 051 904 214
– Full fat 189 840 138 000 3 949 104 377
– Beans
Cotton cake 32 500 32 500 32 500 99 617 109 988
– Full fat 35 000 35 000 39 766 33 338
Other 6 965 7 425
Canola 21 175 21 945 22 120
Lupins 14 400 13 300 9 800
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 608 370 494 557 695 291 1 027 291 1 263 673 1 004 709

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006-2009/2010 marketing season)
Crop 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
White maize 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 542 200
Yellow maize 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 810 000 5 220 000 4 659 300
Sorghum 260 000 96 000 176 000 255 000 260 250
Groundnuts 64 000 74 000 58 000 88 800 96 060
Sunflower 620 000 520 000 300 000 872 000 875 280
Soybeans 272 500 424 000 205 000 282 000 405 035
Cotton seed ¹ 37 804 25 962 19 525 17 378 14 269
Wheat 1 905 000 2 105 000 1 905 000 2 089 775
Canola 44 200 36 500 38 150 32 300

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh forecast for winter crops (24 February 2009) and third crop estimate for summer crops for the 2009/2010 marketing year (23 April 2009).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2009/2010 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 991 000 0 6 542 200 7 533 200
Yellow maize 1 048 000 0 4 659 300 5 707 300
Sorghum 71 000 0 260 250 331 250
Groundnuts 27 000 9 000 96 060 132 060
Sunflower 236 000 60 000 875 280 1 171 280
Soybeans 90 000 0 405 035 495 035
Wheat 509 000 1 100 000 2 089 775 3 698 775
Canola 10 900 0 32 300 43 200

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2004/2005-2009/2010 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
White maize 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 497 300
Yellow maize 1 110 000 567 200 927 000 1 062 000 952 500
Sorghum 86 500 37 150 69 000 86 800 90 100
Groundnuts 40 000 48 550 40 770 54 200 54 550
Sunflower 460 000 472 480 316 350 564 300 595 400
Soybeans 150 000 240 570 183 000 165 400 216 250
Wheat 830 000 805 000 764 800 632 000 748 000 646 400
Canola 44 250 40 200 32 000 33 260 34 000 41 000
Total 4 420 750 3 244 150 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 188 100 687 400

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third area estimate to plant summer crops 2008/2009 production season (23 April 2009). Intentions to plant winter crops 2009 production season (23 April 2009).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September