Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated January 2010)
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
Requirements / Sales |
55 000 |
95 000 |
90 000 |
1 758 185 |
1 664 927 |
1 700 000 |
Available / Produced |
91 700 |
82 500 |
77 500 |
494 557 |
565 181 |
665 334 |
Shortage / Imports |
(36 700) |
12 500 |
12 500 |
1 263 628 |
1 099 746 |
1 034 666 |
2009/2010 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
AFMA Members |
48 156 |
74 345 |
76 721 |
1 094 941 |
1 093 339 |
1 177 095 |
Non-AFMA Members |
6 844 |
20 655 |
13 279 |
663 244 |
571 588 |
522 905 |
Total |
55 000 |
95 000 |
90 000 |
1 758 185 |
1 664 927 |
1 700 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
2007/2008 |
|
2008/2009 |
|
2009/2010 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
167 836 |
2.67 |
248 884 |
4.93 |
311 462 |
5.89 |
Groundnuts oilcake |
0 |
0.00 |
1 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
Soy oilcake |
752 073 |
15.35 |
716 143 |
14.18 |
677 887 |
12.82 |
Full fat soy |
130 609 |
2.67 |
92 474 |
1.83 |
149 580 |
2.83 |
Cottonseed oilcake |
19 068 |
0.39 |
19 886 |
0.39 |
20 460 |
0.39 |
Full fat cottonseed |
9 074 |
0.19 |
4 902 |
0.10 |
4 351 |
0.08 |
Canola oilcake |
2 963 |
0.06 |
2 147 |
0.04 |
2 055 |
0.04 |
Full fat canola |
553 |
0.01 |
31 |
0.00 |
115 |
0.00 |
Copra and Palm Kernel |
7 016 |
0.14 |
4 887 |
0.10 |
6 600 |
0.12 |
Maize Germ Oilcake |
5 750 |
0.12 |
3 984 |
0.08 |
4 584 |
0.09 |
Total oilcake |
1 094 941 |
22.34 |
1 093 339 |
21.65 |
1 177 095 |
22.26 |
Total maize products |
2 627 498 |
53.61 |
2 844 879 |
52.46 |
2 897 461 |
54.79 |
Total fishmeal |
48 156 |
1.12 |
74 345 |
1.47 |
76 721 |
1.45 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
AFMA raw material usage April 2009 to March 2010.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported Fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
RSA |
85 000 |
75 000 |
70 000 |
|
|
|
Namibia ¹ |
6 700 |
7 500 |
7 500 |
|
|
|
Total |
91 700 |
82 500 |
77 500 |
(36 700) |
12 500 |
12 500 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2009/2010 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (2007/2008-2009/2010)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
Oilcake |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
54 |
1 |
216 |
344 |
|
|
Sunflower oilcake |
138 558 |
296 520 |
367 618 |
103 987 |
68 234 |
|
Soy cake |
115 200 |
|
240 000 |
904 214 |
925 270 |
|
– Full fat |
138 000 |
88 000 |
|
104 377 |
4 302 |
|
– Beans |
|
93 600 |
|
|
|
|
Cotton cake |
32 500 |
51 500 |
32 500 |
109 988 |
81 778 |
|
– Full fat |
35 000 |
|
|
33 338 |
20 151 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
7 425 |
11 |
|
Canola |
21 945 |
21 560 |
11 000 |
|
|
|
Lupins |
13 300 |
14 000 |
14 000 |
|
|
|
Copra and Palm Kernel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
494 557 |
565 181 |
665 334 |
1 263 673 |
1 099 746 |
1 034 666 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2005/2006-2009/2010 marketing season)
Crop |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
White maize |
6 540 700 |
4 187 400 |
4 315 000 |
7 480 000 |
6 775 000 |
Yellow maize |
4 909 300 |
2 430 600 |
2 810 000 |
5 220 000 |
5 275 000 |
Sorghum |
260 000 |
96 000 |
176 000 |
255 000 |
276 500 |
Groundnuts |
64 000 |
74 000 |
58 000 |
88 800 |
99 500 |
Sunflower |
620 000 |
520 000 |
300 000 |
872 000 |
801 000 |
Soybeans |
272 500 |
424 000 |
205 000 |
282 000 |
516 000 |
Cotton seed ¹ |
37 804 |
25 962 |
19 525 |
17 378 |
15 658 |
Wheat |
1 905 000 |
2 105 000 |
1 905 000 |
2 130 000 |
1 979 250 |
Canola |
44 200 |
36 500 |
38 150 |
30 800 |
45 660 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth forecast for winter crops (17 December 2009) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2009/2010 marketing year (26 November 2009).
¹ Cotton South Africa
Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2009/2010 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Total supply |
White maize |
766 000 |
0 |
6 775 000 |
7 541 000 |
Yellow maize |
819 000 |
0 |
5 275 000 |
6 094 000 |
Sorghum |
63 000 |
5 000 |
276 500 |
344 500 |
Groundnuts |
27 000 |
7 000 |
99 500 |
133 500 |
Sunflower |
236 000 |
54 000 |
801 000 |
1 091 000 |
Soybeans |
90 000 |
2 000 |
516 000 |
608 000 |
Wheat |
686 000 |
1 100 000 |
1 979 250 |
3 765 250 |
Canola |
10 900 |
0 |
45 660 |
56 560 |
Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2004/2005-2009/2010 production season)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ha Planted |
Crop |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
White maize |
1 700 000 |
1 033 000 |
1 624 800 |
1 737 000 |
1 489 000 |
1 644 500 |
Yellow maize |
1 110 000 |
567 200 |
927 000 |
1 062 000 |
938 500 |
927 500 |
Sorghum |
86 500 |
37 150 |
69 000 |
86 800 |
85 500 |
70 000 |
Groundnuts |
40 000 |
48 550 |
40 770 |
54 200 |
54 550 |
63 500 |
Sunflower |
460 000 |
472 480 |
316 350 |
564 300 |
635 800 |
452 500 |
Soybeans |
150 000 |
240 570 |
183 000 |
165 400 |
237 750 |
271 000 |
Wheat |
830 000 |
805 000 |
764 800 |
632 000 |
748 000 |
657 500 |
Canola |
44 250 |
40 200 |
32 000 |
33 260 |
34 000 |
38 060 |
Total |
4 420 750 |
3 244 150 |
3 957 720 |
4 334 960 |
4 223 100 |
4 124 560 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Intentions to plant summer crops 2009/2010 production season (27 October 2009). Fifth forecast to plant winter crops 2009 production season (17 December 2009).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |