Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2010 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated September 2010)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Requirements / Sales 77 500 58 000 70 000 1 664 927 1 743 137 1 700 000
Available / Produced 82 500 99 500 101 500 565 181 701 030 747 441
Shortage / Imports -5 000 -41 500 -31 500 1 099 746 1 042 107 952 550

2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
AFMA Members 74 345 57 680 40 523 1 093 339 1 218 476 1 279 717
Non-AFMA Members 3 155 320 29 477 571 588 524 661 420 283
Total 77 500 58 000 70 000 1 664 927 1 743 137 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Sunflower oilcake 248 884 4.93 313 922 5.91 297 584 5.43
Groundnuts oilcake 1 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 716 143 14.18 701 055 13.19 752 928 13.73
Full fat soy 92 474 1.83 164 840 3.10 183 884 3.35
Cottonseed oilcake 19 886 0.39 18 739 0.35 19 852 0.36
Full fat cottonseed 4 902 0.10 4 779 0.09 6 192 0.11
Canola oilcake 2 147 0.04 2 834 0.05 4 844 0.09
Full fat canola 31 0.00 618 0.01 1 056 0.02
Copra and Palm Kernel 4 887 0.10 7 655 0.14 8 224 0.15
Maize Germ Oilcake 3 984 0.08 4 033 0.08 5 160 0.09
Total oilcake 1 093 333 21.65 1 218 476 22.93 1 279 717 23.34
Total maize products 2 844 879 52.46 2 900 624 54.58 2 985 747 50.34
Total fish-meal 74 345 1.47 57 680 1.09 40 523 0.74

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
RSA 75 000 98 000 100 000
Namibia ¹ 7 500 1 500 1 500
Total 82 500 99 500 101 500 -5 000 -41 500 -31 500

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 0 0
Sunflower oilcake 296 520 364 140 288 021 68 234 84 906
Soy cake 103 520 387 360 925 270 829 000
– Full fat 88 000 148 320 4 302
– Beans 93 600 2 800
Cotton cake 51 500 20 000 32 500 81 778 88 000
– Full fat 30 000 20 151 33 500
Other 11 3 900
Canola 21 560 17 050 21 560
Lupins 14 000 18 000 18 000
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 565 181 701 030 747 441 1 099 746 1 042 106 952 559

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2006/2007-2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
White maize 4 187 400 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 822 400
Yellow maize 2 430 600 2 810 000 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 271 200
Sorghum 96 000 176 000 255 000 276 500 231 593
Groundnuts 74 000 58 000 88 800 99 500 87 880
Sunflower 520 000 300 000 872 000 801 000 516 265
Soybeans 424 000 205 000 282 000 516 000 565 700
Cotton seed ¹ 25 962 19 525 17 378 15 658 13 495
Wheat 2 105 000 1 905 000 2 130 000 1 958 000 1 694 920
Canola 36 500 38 150 30 800 40 350 42 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First production forecast for winter crops (24 August 2010) and seventh crop estimate for summer crops for the 2010/2011 marketing year (24 August 2010).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 362 00 0 7 822 400 9 184 400
Yellow maize 769 000 0 5 271 200 6 040 200
Sorghum 93 000 0 231 593 324 593
Groundnuts 44 000 6 000 87 880 137 880
Sunflower 266 000 40 000 516 265 822 265
Soybeans 113 000 4 000 565 700 682 700
Wheat 715 000 1 400 000 1 694 920 3 809 920
Canola 8 100 0 42 000 50 100

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2005/2006-2010/2011 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
White maize 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700
Yellow maize 567 200 927 000 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700
Sorghum 37 150 69 000 86 800 85 500 86 675
Groundnuts 48 550 40 770 54 200 54 550 57 450
Sunflower 472 480 316 350 564 300 635 800 397 700
Soybeans 240 570 183 000 165 400 237 750 311 450
Wheat 805 000 764 800 632 000 748 000 642 500 568 100
Canola 40 200 32 000 33 260 34 000 35 060 35 000
Total 3 244 150 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 603 100

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh forecast to plant summer crops 2009/2010 production season (24 August 2010). Revised area to plant winter crops 2010 production season (24 August 2010).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September