Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2010 May

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated May 2010)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Requirements / Sales 55 000 95 000 90 000 1 758 185 1 664 927 1 700 000
Available / Produced 91 700 82 500 77 500 494 557 565 181 665 334
Shortage / Imports (36 700) 12 500 12 500 1 263 628 1 099 746 1 034 666

2009/2010 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
AFMA Members 48 156 74 345 64 404 1 094 941 1 093 339 1 215 071
Non-AFMA Members 6 844 20 655 25 596 663 244 571 588 484 929
Total 55 000 95 000 90 000 1 758 185 1 664 927 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Sunflower oilcake 167 836 2.67 248 884 4.93 315 098 5.91
Groundnuts oilcake 0 0.00 1 0.00 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 752 073 15.35 716 143 14.18 695 099 13.03
Full fat soy 130 609 2.67 92 474 1.83 166 525 3.12
Cottonseed oilcake 19 068 0.39 19 886 0.39 18 942 0.36
Full fat cottonseed 9 074 0.19 4 902 0.10 4 718 0.09
Canola oilcake 2 963 0.06 2 147 0.04 2 605 0.05
Full fat canola 553 0.01 31 0.00 636 0.01
Copra and Palm Kernel 7 016 0.14 4 887 0.10 7 313 0.14
Maize Germ Oilcake 5 750 0.12 3 984 0.08 4 134 0.09
Total oilcake 1 094 941 22.34 1 093 339 21.65 1 215 071 22.77
Total maize products 2 627 498 53.61 2 844 879 52.46 2 921 670 54.76
Total fish-meal 48 156 1.12 74 345 1.47 64 404 1.21

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
AFMA raw material usage April 2009 to March 2010.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
RSA 85 000 75 000 70 000
Namibia ¹ 6 700 7 500 7 500
Total 91 700 82 500 77 500 (36 700) 12 500 12 500

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2009/2010 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2007/2008-2009/2010)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 54 1 216 344
Sunflower oilcake 138 558 296 520 367 618 103 987 68 234
Soy cake 115 200 240 000 904 214 925 270
– Full fat 138 000 88 000 104 377 4 302
– Beans 93 600
Cotton cake 32 500 51 500 32 500 109 988 81 778
– Full fat 35 000 33 338 20 151
Other 7 425 11
Canola 21 945 21 560 11 000
Lupins 13 300 14 000 14 000
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 494 557 565 181 665 334 1 263 673 1 099 746 1 034 666

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2006/2007-2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
White maize 4 187 400 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 857 900
Yellow maize 2 430 600 2 810 000 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 244 700
Sorghum 96 000 176 000 255 000 276 500 262 633
Groundnuts 74 000 58 000 88 800 99 500 99 230
Sunflower 520 000 300 000 872 000 801 000 501 565
Soybeans 424 000 205 000 282 000 516 000 587 950
Cotton seed ¹ 25 962 19 525 17 378 15 658 13 844
Wheat 2 105 000 1 905 000 2 130 000 1 919 800
Canola 36 500 38 150 30 800 40 310

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final forecast for winter crops (22 April 2010) and third crop estimate for summer crops for the 2010/2011 marketing year (22 April 2010).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 351 000 0 7 857 900 9 208 900
Yellow maize 778 000 0 5 244 700 6 022 700
Sorghum 93 000 0 262 633 355 633
Groundnuts 44 000 10 000 99 230 153 230
Sunflower 266 000 60 000 501 565 827 565
Soybeans 113 000 5 000 587 950 705 950
Wheat 686 000 1 100 000 1 919 800 3 705 800
Canola 10 700 0 40 310 51 010

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2005/2006-2010/2011 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
White maize 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700
Yellow maize 567 200 927 000 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700
Sorghum 37 150 69 000 86 800 85 500 86 675
Groundnuts 48 550 40 770 54 200 54 550 57 450
Sunflower 472 480 316 350 564 300 635 800 397 700
Soybeans 240 570 183 000 165 400 237 750 311 450
Wheat 805 000 764 800 632 000 748 000 642 500 548 000
Canola 40 200 32 000 33 260 34 000 35 060 37 500
Total 3 244 150 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 585 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third forecast to plant summer crops 2009/2010 production season (22 April 2010). Intentions to plant winter crops 2010 production season (22 April 2010).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September