Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated July 2010)
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
Requirements / Sales |
55 000 |
95 000 |
90 000 |
1 758 185 |
1 664 927 |
1 700 000 |
Available / Produced |
91 700 |
82 500 |
77 500 |
494 557 |
565 181 |
665 334 |
Shortage / Imports |
(36 700) |
12 500 |
12 500 |
1 263 628 |
1 099 746 |
1 034 666 |
2009/2010 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
AFMA Members |
48 156 |
74 345 |
57 680 |
1 094 941 |
1 093 339 |
1 218 476 |
Non-AFMA Members |
6 844 |
20 655 |
32 320 |
663 244 |
571 588 |
481 524 |
Total |
55 000 |
95 000 |
90 000 |
1 758 185 |
1 664 927 |
1 700 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
2007/2008 |
|
2008/2009 |
|
2009/2010 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
167 836 |
2.67 |
248 884 |
4.93 |
313 922 |
5.91 |
Groundnuts oilcake |
0 |
0.00 |
1 |
0.00 |
0 |
0.00 |
Soy oilcake |
752 073 |
15.35 |
716 143 |
14.18 |
701 055 |
13.19 |
Full fat soy |
130 609 |
2.67 |
92 474 |
1.83 |
164 840 |
3.10 |
Cottonseed oilcake |
19 068 |
0.39 |
19 886 |
0.39 |
18 739 |
0.35 |
Full fat cottonseed |
9 074 |
0.19 |
4 902 |
0.10 |
4 779 |
0.09 |
Canola oilcake |
2 963 |
0.06 |
2 147 |
0.04 |
2 834 |
0.05 |
Full fat canola |
553 |
0.01 |
31 |
0.00 |
618 |
0.01 |
Copra and Palm Kernel |
7 016 |
0.14 |
4 887 |
0.10 |
7 655 |
0.14 |
Maize Germ Oilcake |
5 750 |
0.12 |
3 984 |
0.08 |
4 033 |
0.08 |
Total oilcake |
1 094 941 |
22.34 |
1 093 339 |
21.65 |
1 218 476 |
22.93 |
Total maize products |
2 627 498 |
53.61 |
2 844 879 |
52.46 |
2 900 624 |
54.58 |
Total fishmeal |
48 156 |
1.12 |
74 345 |
1.47 |
57 680 |
1.09 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
AFMA raw material usage April 2009 to March 2010.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported Fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
RSA |
85 000 |
75 000 |
70 000 |
|
|
|
Namibia ¹ |
6 700 |
7 500 |
7 500 |
|
|
|
Total |
91 700 |
82 500 |
77 500 |
(36 700) |
12 500 |
12 500 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2009/2010 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (2007/2008-2009/2010)
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
Oilcake |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
54 |
1 |
216 |
344 |
|
|
Sunflower oilcake |
138 558 |
296 520 |
367 618 |
103 987 |
68 234 |
|
Soy cake |
115 200 |
|
240 000 |
904 214 |
925 270 |
|
– Full fat |
138 000 |
88 000 |
|
104 377 |
4 302 |
|
– Beans |
|
93 600 |
|
|
|
|
Cotton cake |
32 500 |
51 500 |
32 500 |
109 988 |
81 778 |
|
– Full fat |
35 000 |
|
|
33 338 |
20 151 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
7 425 |
11 |
|
Canola |
21 945 |
21 560 |
11 000 |
|
|
|
Lupins |
13 300 |
14 000 |
14 000 |
|
|
|
Copra and Palm Kernel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
494 557 |
565 181 |
665 334 |
1 263 673 |
1 099 746 |
1 034 666 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2006/2007-2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
White maize |
4 187 400 |
4 315 000 |
7 480 000 |
6 775 000 |
7 999 250 |
Yellow maize |
2 430 600 |
2 810 000 |
5 220 000 |
5 275 000 |
5 317 800 |
Sorghum |
96 000 |
176 000 |
255 000 |
276 500 |
241 593 |
Groundnuts |
74 000 |
58 000 |
88 800 |
99 500 |
87 880 |
Sunflower |
520 000 |
300 000 |
872 000 |
801 000 |
528 765 |
Soybeans |
424 000 |
205 000 |
282 000 |
516 000 |
567 200 |
Cotton seed ¹ |
25 962 |
19 525 |
17 378 |
15 658 |
13 682 |
Wheat |
2 105 000 |
1 905 000 |
2 130 000 |
1 958 00 |
|
Canola |
36 500 |
38 150 |
30 800 |
40 350 |
|
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final forecast for winter crops (6 May 2010) and fifth crop estimate for summer crops for the 2010/2011 marketing year (24 June 2010).
¹ Cotton South Africa
Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Total supply |
White maize |
1 398 000 |
0 |
7 999 250 |
9 397 250 |
Yellow maize |
805 000 |
0 |
5 317 800 |
6 122 800 |
Sorghum |
93 000 |
0 |
241 593 |
334 593 |
Groundnuts |
44 000 |
10 000 |
87 880 |
141 880 |
Sunflower |
266 000 |
60 000 |
528 765 |
854 765 |
Soybeans |
113 000 |
3 000 |
567 200 |
683 200 |
Wheat |
646 000 |
1 530 000 |
1 644 000 |
3 820 000 |
Canola |
10 700 |
0 |
45 000 |
55 900 |
Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2005/2006-2010/2011 production season)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ha Planted |
Crop |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
White maize |
1 033 000 |
1 624 800 |
1 737 000 |
1 489 000 |
1 719 700 |
|
Yellow maize |
567 200 |
927 000 |
1 062 000 |
938 500 |
1 022 700 |
|
Sorghum |
37 150 |
69 000 |
86 800 |
85 500 |
86 675 |
|
Groundnuts |
48 550 |
40 770 |
54 200 |
54 550 |
57 450 |
|
Sunflower |
472 480 |
316 350 |
564 300 |
635 800 |
397 700 |
|
Soybeans |
240 570 |
183 000 |
165 400 |
237 750 |
311 450 |
|
Wheat |
805 000 |
764 800 |
632 000 |
748 000 |
642 500 |
548 000 |
Canola |
40 200 |
32 000 |
33 260 |
34 000 |
35 060 |
37 500 |
Total |
3 244 150 |
3 957 720 |
4 334 960 |
4 223 100 |
4 273 235 |
585 500 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth forecast to plant summer crops 2009/2010 production season (24 June 2010). Intentions to plant winter crops 2010 production season (22 April 2010).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |