Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated July 2010)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Requirements / Sales 55 000 95 000 90 000 1 758 185 1 664 927 1 700 000
Available / Produced 91 700 82 500 77 500 494 557 565 181 665 334
Shortage / Imports (36 700) 12 500 12 500 1 263 628 1 099 746 1 034 666

2009/2010 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
AFMA Members 48 156 74 345 57 680 1 094 941 1 093 339 1 218 476
Non-AFMA Members 6 844 20 655 32 320 663 244 571 588 481 524
Total 55 000 95 000 90 000 1 758 185 1 664 927 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Sunflower oilcake 167 836 2.67 248 884 4.93 313 922 5.91
Groundnuts oilcake 0 0.00 1 0.00 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 752 073 15.35 716 143 14.18 701 055 13.19
Full fat soy 130 609 2.67 92 474 1.83 164 840 3.10
Cottonseed oilcake 19 068 0.39 19 886 0.39 18 739 0.35
Full fat cottonseed 9 074 0.19 4 902 0.10 4 779 0.09
Canola oilcake 2 963 0.06 2 147 0.04 2 834 0.05
Full fat canola 553 0.01 31 0.00 618 0.01
Copra and Palm Kernel 7 016 0.14 4 887 0.10 7 655 0.14
Maize Germ Oilcake 5 750 0.12 3 984 0.08 4 033 0.08
Total oilcake 1 094 941 22.34 1 093 339 21.65 1 218 476 22.93
Total maize products 2 627 498 53.61 2 844 879 52.46 2 900 624 54.58
Total fishmeal 48 156 1.12 74 345 1.47 57 680 1.09

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2008/2009
AFMA raw material usage April 2009 to March 2010.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2007/2008-2009/2010) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
RSA 85 000 75 000 70 000
Namibia ¹ 6 700 7 500 7 500
Total 91 700 82 500 77 500 (36 700) 12 500 12 500

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2009/2010 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2007/2008-2009/2010)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 54 1 216 344
Sunflower oilcake 138 558 296 520 367 618 103 987 68 234
Soy cake 115 200 240 000 904 214 925 270
– Full fat 138 000 88 000 104 377 4 302
– Beans 93 600
Cotton cake 32 500 51 500 32 500 109 988 81 778
– Full fat 35 000 33 338 20 151
Other 7 425 11
Canola 21 945 21 560 11 000
Lupins 13 300 14 000 14 000
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 494 557 565 181 665 334 1 263 673 1 099 746 1 034 666

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2008/2009
2009/2010 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2006/2007-2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
White maize 4 187 400 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 999 250
Yellow maize 2 430 600 2 810 000 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 317 800
Sorghum 96 000 176 000 255 000 276 500 241 593
Groundnuts 74 000 58 000 88 800 99 500 87 880
Sunflower 520 000 300 000 872 000 801 000 528 765
Soybeans 424 000 205 000 282 000 516 000 567 200
Cotton seed ¹ 25 962 19 525 17 378 15 658 13 682
Wheat 2 105 000 1 905 000 2 130 000 1 958 00
Canola 36 500 38 150 30 800 40 350

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final forecast for winter crops (6 May 2010) and fifth crop estimate for summer crops for the 2010/2011 marketing year (24 June 2010).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 398 000 0 7 999 250 9 397 250
Yellow maize 805 000 0 5 317 800 6 122 800
Sorghum 93 000 0 241 593 334 593
Groundnuts 44 000 10 000 87 880 141 880
Sunflower 266 000 60 000 528 765 854 765
Soybeans 113 000 3 000 567 200 683 200
Wheat 646 000 1 530 000 1 644 000 3 820 000
Canola 10 700 0 45 000 55 900

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2005/2006-2010/2011 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
White maize 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700
Yellow maize 567 200 927 000 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700
Sorghum 37 150 69 000 86 800 85 500 86 675
Groundnuts 48 550 40 770 54 200 54 550 57 450
Sunflower 472 480 316 350 564 300 635 800 397 700
Soybeans 240 570 183 000 165 400 237 750 311 450
Wheat 805 000 764 800 632 000 748 000 642 500 548 000
Canola 40 200 32 000 33 260 34 000 35 060 37 500
Total 3 244 150 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 585 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth forecast to plant summer crops 2009/2010 production season (24 June 2010). Intentions to plant winter crops 2010 production season (22 April 2010).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September