Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 28 March 2018

Revised area planted estimate and second production forecast for summer crops for 2018 / Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2018

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 268 100 6 363 100 6 108 000 1 643 100 9 916 000 +4.2
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 050 750 6 057 400 6 114 950 985 500 6 904 000 -0.9
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 318 850 12 420 500 12 222 950 2 628 600 16 820 000 +1.6
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 601 500 749 205 731 505 635 750 874 000 +2.4
Soybeans / Sojabone 787 200 1 394 800 1 374 700 573 950 1 316 000 +1.5
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 300 80 600 88 850 56 000 92 050 -9.3
Sorghum 28 800 84 750 78 200 42 350 152 000 +8.4
Dry beans / Droëbone 53 360 68 210 70 770 45 050 68 525 -3.6
Total / Totaal 3 846 010 14 798 065 14 566 975 3 981 700 19 322 575 +1.6

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2018   Produksie

Graph showing total maize production from 2010 to 2018 in tons

Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Production   2010-2018   Produksie

Graph showing sunflower seed production: 2010-2018

Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2010-2018   Produksie

Graph showing soybean production from 2010 to 2018
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en tweede produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Second forecast / Tweede skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final estimate ¹ / Finale skatting ¹
2018 2018 2017 2017
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750 200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
2 700 43 000 46 600 43 200 629 950 673 150 3 500 45 000 48 500 46 200 666 000 712 200
Free State / Vrystaat
644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 316 600 2 070 500 5 387 100 805 000 355 000 1 160 000 5 110 000 2 252 000 7 362 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200 4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 66 500 97 300
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 50 000 95 000 288 000 375 000 663 000 50 000 50 000 100 000 350 000 390 000 740 000
Mpumalanga
140 000 340 000 480 000 805 000 1 955 000 2 760 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 1 088 000 2 342 500 3 430 500
Limpopo
12 000 21 000 33 000 81 600 136 500 218 100 40 000 24 000 64 000 300 000 192 000 492 000
Gauteng
50 000 62 000 112 000 290 000 378 200 668 200 60 000 60 000 120 000 390 000 414 000 804 000
North West / Noordwes
370 000 110 000 480 000 1 517 000 407 000 1 924 000 520 000 110 000 630 000 2 599 000 561 000 3 160 000
Total / Totaal
1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 363 100 6 057 400 12 420 500 1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 916 000 6 904 000 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100 - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 600 1 920 250 400
Free State / Vrystaat 314 000 423 900 330 000 478 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - 300 300
Mpumalanga 2 300 2 185 2 200 2 300
Limpopo 45 000 36 000 90 000 85 500
Gauteng 5 500 5 500 3 000 3 000
North West / Noordwes 233 000 279 600 210 000 304 500
Total / Totaal 601 500 749 205 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 800 1 200 700 1 050
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 9 000 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 345 000 517 500 240 000 504 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 400 2 400 1 850 2 775
KwaZulu-Natal 40 000 124 000 30 500 89 605
Mpumalanga 310 000 573 500 241 000 554 300
Limpopo 20 000 55 000 8 500 29 750
Gauteng 30 000 60 000 25 400 71 120
North West / Noordwes 36 000 52 200 23 000 52 900
Total / Totaal 787 200 1 394 800 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 800 8 400 4 000 14 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 33 000 22 000 34 100
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 3 500 7 000 3 000 4 800
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 28 000 32 200 27 000 39 150
Total / Totaal 56 300 80 600 56 000 92 050
Dry beans / Droëbone
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 20 30 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 540 1 080 650 1 300
Free State / Vrystaat 26 000 31 200 20 000 32 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 000 3 600 4 500 5 400
Mpumalanga 7 000 9 800 5 500 8 525
Limpopo 7 500 11 250 7 000 12 950
Gauteng 1 000 1 200 1 500 2 250
North West / Noordwes 8 000 9 600 5 500 5 500
Total / Totaal 53 360 68 210 45 050 68 525
Sorghum
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 6 300 18 900 7 700 24 640
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 750 400 1 520
Mpumalanga 7 500 36 000 12 000 62 400
Limpopo 5 000 6 000 18 000 50 400
Gauteng 1 500 4 500 750 2 400
North West / Noordwes 8 000 17 600 3 500 10 640
Total / Totaal 28 800 84 750 42 350 152 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area estimate and second production forecast (2018)  March 28 Maart 2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting (2018)

Summer field crops – 2018

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 12,420 million tons, which is 1,62% or 197 550 tons more than the previous forecast of 12,223 million tons. The area estimate for maize was increased by 16 150 ha to 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,36 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 26% smaller than the 2017 crop, which was the highest crop ever produced in the RSA. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 81% of the 2018 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,268 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,051 million ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 6,363 million tons, which is 4,18% or 255 100 tons more than the 6,108 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,02 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,057 million tons, which is 0,94% or 57 550 tons less than the 6,115 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,76 t/ha.

Please note that information from the objective yield survey by the ARC for the Mpumalanga province will be available in April 2018; and for the Free State and North West provinces in May 2018. The current yield figures are mainly obtained from producers in the different provinces.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 749 205 tons, which is 2,42% or 17 700 tons more than the 731 505 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sunflower seed was increased by 16 600 ha to 601 500 ha, while the expected yield is 1,25 t/ha.

Other crops:

The production forecast for soybeans is 1,395 million tons, which is 1,46% or 20 100 tons more than the 1,375 million tons of the previous forecast. The estimated area planted to soybeans was increased by 11 900 ha to 787 200 ha and the expected yield is 1,77 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop is 80 600 tons, which is 9,29% or 8 250 tons less than the 88 850 tons of the last forecast. For groundnuts, the area estimate remained unchanged at 56 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,43 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 84 750 tons, which is 8,38% or 6 550 tons more than the 78 200 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum was increased by 4 000 ha to 28 800 ha and the expected yield is 2,94 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 68 210 tons, which is 3,62% or 2 560 tons less than the 70 770 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans was decreased by 3 240 ha to 53 360 ha, with an expected yield of 1,28 t/ha.


Please note that the third production forecast for summer field crops for 2018 will be released on 25 April 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2018

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 12,420 miljoen ton gestel, wat 1,62% of 197 550 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 12,223 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies het met 16 150 ha toegeneem na 2,319 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,36 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 26% kleiner as die 2017-oes, wat die grootste oes was wat die RSA nog ooit geproduseer het. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 81% van die 2018-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,268 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,051 miljoen ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,363 miljoen ton, 4,18% of 255 100 ton meer is as die 6,108 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,02 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,057 miljoen ton, wat 0,94% of 57 550 ton minder is as die 6,115 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,76 t/ha.

Neem kennis dat inligting van die objektiewe opbrengs-opname van die LNR vir die Mpumalanga provinsie, in April 2018 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies in Mei 2018. Die huidige opbrengs syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf produsente in die verskillende provinsies.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 749 205 ton, wat 2,42% of 17 700 ton meer is as die 731 505 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is opwaarts aangepas met 16 600 ha na 601 500 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,25 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse:

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,395 miljoen ton, wat 1,46% of 20 100 ton meer is as die 1,375 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is opwaart aangepas met 11 900 ha na 787 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,77 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 80 6000 ton, wat 9,29% of 8 250 ton minder is as die 88 850 ton van die vorige skatting. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting onveranderd gelaat op 56 300 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,43 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 84 750 ton, wat 8,38% of 6 550 ton meer is as die 78 200 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is opwaarts aangepas met 4 000 ha na 28 800 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,94 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 68 210 ton, wat 3,62% of 2 560 ton minder is as die 70 770 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is verminder met 3 240 ha na 53 360 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,28 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die derde produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2017, op 25 April 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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