Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 27 February 2018

Revised area planted estimate and first production forecast for summer crops and area estimate and final production forecast for winter cereals / Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting vir somergewasse en oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting vir wintergewasse

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 258 200 6 108 000 1 643 100 9 916 000 -38.4
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 044 500 6 114 950 985 500 6 904 000 -11.4
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 302 700 12 222 950 2 628 600 16 820 000 -27.3
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 584 900 731 505 635 750 874 000 -16.3
Soybeans / Sojabone 775 300 1 374 700 573 950 1 316 000 +4.5
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 300 88 850 56 000 92 050 -3.5
Sorghum 24 800 78 200 42 350 152 000 -48.6
Dry beans / Droëbone 56 600 70 770 45 050 68 525 +3.3
Total / Totaal 3 800 600 14 566 975 3 981 700 19 322 575 -24.6

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2018   Produksie

Graph showing total maize production 2010 to 2018 (tons)

White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2018   Produksie

Graph showing white maize production 2010 to 2018 (tons)

Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2018   Produksie

Graph showing yellow maize production 2010 to 2018 (tons)
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Preliminary area planted  2018  Voorlopige oppervlakte beplant
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant First forecast / Eerste skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹
2018 2018 2017 2017
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
0 1 500 1 500 0 13 500 13 500 200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 200 43 000 46 200 36 800 629 950 666 750 3 500 45 000 48 500 46 200 666 000 712 200
Free State / Vrystaat
644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 220 000 2 111 500 5 331 500 805 000 355 000 1 160 000 5 110 000 2 252 000 7 362 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
4 000 7 000 11 000 24 800 45 500 70 300 4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 66 500 97 300
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 50 000 95 000 261 000 350 000 611 000 50 000 50 000 100 000 350 000 390 000 740 000
Mpumalanga
140 000 340 000 480 000 791 000 2 040 000 2 831 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 1 088 000 2 342 500 3 430 500
Limpopo
12 000 21 000 33 000 80 400 136 500 216 900 40 000 24 000 64 000 300 000 192 000 492 000
Gauteng
50 000 62 000 112 000 290 000 403 000 693 000 60 000 60 000 120 000 390 000 414 000 804 000
North West / Noordwes
360 000 110 000 470 000 1 404 000 385 000 1 789 000 520 000 110 000 630 000 2 599 000 561 000 3 160 000
Total / Totaal
1 258 200 1 044 500 2 302 700 6 108 000 6 114 950 12 222 950 1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 916 000 6 904 000 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 100 120 250 400
Free State / Vrystaat 310 000 418 500 330 000 478 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - 300 300
Mpumalanga 2 300 2 185 2 200 2 300
Limpopo 45 000 38 250 90 000 85 500
Gauteng 5 500 6 050 3 000 3 000
North West / Noordwes 222 000 266 400 210 000 304 500
Total / Totaal 584 900 731 505 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 300 450 700 1 050
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 9 000 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 345 000 517 500 240 000 504 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 000 3 000 1 850 2 775
KwaZulu-Natal 40 000 124 000 30 500 89 605
Mpumalanga 300 000 555 000 241 000 554 300
Limpopo 20 000 55 000 8 500 29 750
Gauteng 30 000 60 000 25 400 71 120
North West / Noordwes 35 000 50 750 23 000 52 900
Total / Totaal 775 300 1 374 700 573 950 1 316 370
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 800 9 800 4 000 14 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 37 400 22 000 34 100
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 3 500 5 250 3 000 4 800
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 28 000 36 400 27 000 39 150
Total / Totaal 56 300 88 850 56 000 92 050
Dry beans / Droëbone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 20 30 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 540 1 080 650 1 300
Free State / Vrystaat 30 000 36 000 20 000 32 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 40 60 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 2 500 3 000 4 500 5 400
Mpumalanga 6 000 7 200 5 500 8 525
Limpopo 8 000 12 000 7 000 12 950
Gauteng 1 500 1 800 1 500 2 250
North West / Noordwes 8 000 9 600 5 500 5 500
Total / Totaal 56 600 70 770 45 050 68 525
Sorghum
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 6 300 18 900 7 700 24 640
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 000 400 1 520
Mpumalanga 7 500 37 500 12 000 62 400
Limpopo 5 000 7 500 18 000 50 400
Gauteng 1 500 4 500 750 2 400
North West / Noordwes 4 000 8 800 3 500 10 640
Total / Totaal 24 800 78 200 42 350 152 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse

Revised area estimate and first production forecast of summer crops (2018)  February 27 Februarie 2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting (2018)

Summer field crops – 2018

Commercial maize: The revised area estimate for maize is 2 302 700 ha, which is 12,40% or 325 900 ha less than the 2 628 600 ha planted for the previous season and also 0,28% or 6 500 ha less than the preliminary area estimate of 2 309 200 ha released in January 2018.

The expected commercial maize crop is 12 222 950 tons, which is 27,33% or 4 597 050 tons less than the 16 820 000 tons of the previous season (2017).

The area planted figures are mainly based on information obtained from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC) for Free State, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Gauteng and North West provinces.

Please note that information from the objective yield survey by the NCSC for the Mpumalanga province will be available in April 2018; and for the Free State and North West provinces in May 2018. The current yield figures are mainly obtained from producers in the different provinces.

The area estimate for white maize is 1 258 200 ha, which represents a decrease of 23,43% or 384 900 ha compared to the 1 643 100 ha planted last season. The production forecast of white maize is 6 108 000 tons, which is 38,40% or 3 808 000 tons less than the 9 916 000 tons of last season. The yield for white maize is 4,85 t/ha.

In the case of yellow maize, the area estimate is 1 044 500 ha, which is 5,99% or 59 000 ha more than the 985 000 ha planted last season. The yellow maize production forecast is 6 114 950 tons, which is 11,43% or 789 050 tons less than the 6 904 000 tons of last season. The yield for yellow maize is 5,85 t/ha.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The revised area estimate for sunflower seed is 584 900 ha, which is 8,00% or 50 850 ha less than the 635 750 ha planted the previous season. The production forecast for sun­flower seed is 731 505 tons, which is 16,30% or 142 495 tons less than the 874 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,25 t/ha.

Other crops

It is estimated that 775 300 ha have been planted to soybeans, which represents an increase of 35,08% or 201 350 ha compared to the 573 950 ha planted last season. The production forecast is 1 374 700 tons, which is 4,46% or 58 700 tons more than the 1 316 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,77 t/ha.

For groundnuts, the area estimate is 56 300 ha, which is 0,54% or 300 ha more than the 56 000 ha planted for the previous season. The expected crop is 88 850 tons – which is 3,48% or 3 200 tons less than the 92 050 tons of last season. The expected yield is 1,58 t/ha.

The area estimate for sorghum decreased by 41,44% or 17 550 ha, from 42 350 ha to 24 800 ha against the previous season. The production forecast for sorghum is 78 200 tons, which is 48,55% or 73 800 tons less than the 152 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 3,15 t/ha.

For dry beans, the area estimate is 56 600 ha, which is 25,64% or 11 550 ha more than the 45 050 ha planted for the previous season. The production forecast is 70 770 tons, which is 3,28% or 2 245 tons more than the 68 525 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,25 t/ha.


Please note that the second production forecast for summer field crops for 2018 will be released on 28 March 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2018

Kommersiële mielies: Die hersiene skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies beloop 2 302 700 ha, wat 12,40% of 325 900 ha minder is as die 2 628 600 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is, maar ook 0,28% of 6 500 ha minder as die voorlopige opper­vlakteskatting van 2 309 200 ha soos vrygestel in Januarie 2018.

Die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is 12 222 950 ton, wat 27,33% of 4 597 050 ton minder is as die 16 820 000 ton van die vorige seisoen (2017).

Die oppervlakte beplant syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstelsel (PICES), soos deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium gerapporteer vir Vrystaat, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Gauteng en Noordwes provinsies.

Neem kennis dat inligting van die objektiewe opbrengs-opname van die Konsortium vir die Mpumalanga provinsie, in April 2018 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies in Mei 2018. Die huidige opbrengs syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf produsente in die verskillende provinsies.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1 258 200 ha, wat 'n afname van 23,43% of 384 900 ha verteenwoordig vergeleke met die 1 643 100 ha die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6 108 000 ton, wat 38,40% of 3 808 000 ton minder is as die 9 916 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 4,85 t/ha.

In die geval van geelmielies is die oppervlakteskatting 1 044 500 ha, wat 5,99% of 59 000 ha meer is as die 985 000 ha geplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting van geelmielies is 6 114 950 ton, wat 11,43% of 789 050 ton minder is as die 6 904 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,85 t/ha.

Ander somergewasse

Sonneblomsaad: Die hersiene oppervlakteskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 584 900 ha, wat 8,00% of 50 850 ha minder is as die 635 750 ha aangeplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 731 505 ton, wat 16,30% of 142 495 ton minder is as die 874 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,25 t/ha.

Ander gewasse

Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 775 300 ha, wat 'n toename van 35,08% of 201 350 ha verteenwoordig vergeleke met die 573 950 ha geplant die vorige seisoen. Die produk­sieskatting is 1 374 700 ton, wat 4,46% of 58 700 ton meer is as die 1 316 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,77 t/ha.

Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 56 300 ha, wat 0,54% of 300 ha meer is as die 56 000 ha geplant vir die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 88 850 ton – 3,48% of 3 200 ton minder as die 92 050 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,58 t/ha.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum het afgeneem met 41,44% of 17 550 ha, van 42 350 ha tot 24 800 ha teenoor die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 78 200 ton – 48,55% of 73 800 ton minder as die 152 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,15 t/ha.

Vir droëbone is die geskatte oppervlakte beplant 56 600 ha, wat 25,64% of 11 550 ha meer is as die 45 050 ha geplant vir die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting is 70 770 ton, wat 3,28% of 2 245 ton meer is as die 68 525 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,25 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2018, op 28 Maart 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area plasted estimate and final production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  Wheat / Koring 491 600 1 524 750 1 475 450 508 365 1 910 000 +3.3
  Malting barley / Moutgars 91 380 307 064 307 064 88 695 355 000 -
Canola 84 000 93 468 93 468 68 075 105 000 -
Total / Totaal 666 980 1 925 282 1 875 982 665 135 2 370 000 +2.6

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2017

Wheat / Koring
Area planted estimate and final production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 326 000 586 800 323 000 1 098 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 311 600 35 000 266 000
Free State / Vrystaat 80 000 328 000 110 000 308 460
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 900 9 500 2 200 11 000
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 45 750 6 500 37 050
Mpumalanga 4 000 25 200 2 300 13 800
Limpopo 20 000 130 000 17 000 103 700
Gauteng 700 4 200 365 2 190
North West / Noordwes 13 500 83 700 12 000 69 600
Total / Totaal 491 600 1 524 750 508 365 1 910 000

Wheat / Koring
Production   2008-2017   Produksie

Graph showing wheat production for 2008 to 2017 (tons)

Malting barley / Moutgars
Production   2008-2017   Produksie

Graph depicting malting barley production 2008 to 2017 (tons)

Canola
Production   2008-2017   Produksie

Graph showing canola production 2008-2017 (tons)

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and final production estimate of winter crops  February 27 Februarie 2018  Oppervlakteskatting en finale produksieskatting van wintergewasse

2017 production season

Wheat: The expected commercial production of wheat is 1 524 750 tons, which is 3,34% or 49 300 tons more than the previous forecast of 1 475 450 tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,10 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape remained unchanged at 586 800 tons. The production estimate for the Free State increased by 10,81% or 32 000 tons, from 296 000 tons to 328 000 tons; and in the Northern Cape, the expected production estimate also increased by 2,50% or 7 600 tons.

The area estimate for wheat 491 600 ha.

Other crops: The production estimate for malting barley remained unchanged at 307 064 tons. The area planted is estimated at 91 380 ha, while the expected yield is 3,36 t/ha.

The expected canola crop also remained unchanged at 93 468 tons. The area estimate for canola is 84 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,11 t/ha.


Please note that the intentions to plant winter cereals for 2018 will be released on 25 April 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

2017 produksieseisoen

Koring: Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1 524 750 ton, wat 3,34% of 49 300 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1 475 450 ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,10 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is onveranderd gelaat op 586 800 ton. Die produksieskatting vir die Vrystaat het met 10,81% of 32 000 ton toegeneem, van 296 000 ton tot 328 000 ton teenoor die vorige skatting; en in die Noord-Kaap het die verwagte produksie ook toegeneem met 2,50% of 7 600 ton.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 491 600 ha.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is onver­anderd gelaat op 307 064 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant is beraam op 91 380 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,36 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is ook onveranderd gelaat op 93 468 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 84 000 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,11 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorneme om wintergewasse te plant vir 2018 op 25 April 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.