Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 25 October 2018

Intentions to plant 2019 summer crops. Revised area planted and third production forecast for winter cereals.
Voorneme om 2019 somergewasse te plant. Hersiene oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Intentions to plant  2019  Voorneme om te plant
Crop / Gewas Intentions
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Change
Verandering
2019
as mid October 2018
soos middel-Oktober 2018
2018 2018
as on 26 September 2018
soos op 26 September 2018
Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (A) ÷ (B)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 373 400 1 268 100 6 801 560 +8.30
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 075 000 1 050 750 6 129 650 +2.31
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 448 400 2 318 850 12 931 210 +5.59
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 575 000 601 500 858 605 -4.41
Soybeans / Sojabone 851 800 787 200 1 550 800 +8.21
Groundnuts / Grondbone 50 000 56 300 53 750 -11.19
Sorghum 43 000 28 800 109 855 +49.31
Dry beans / Droëbone 60 000 53 360 69 360 +12.44
Total / Totaal 4 028 200 3 846 010 15 573 580 +4.74

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/19 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/19 = 2019

Total maize / Totale mielies
Area planted   2009-2019   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph of total area planted (ha) to maize: 2009-2019
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted   2009-2019   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted (ha) to sunflower seed: 2009-2019 - graph
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted   2009-2019   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph - area planted (ha) to soybeans: 2009-2019
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Intentions to plant  2019  Voorneme om te plant
Intentions (area planted) / Oppervlakte beplant Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final estimate ¹ / Finale skatting ¹
2019 2018 2018
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 000 3 400 0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 500 44 000 47 500 3 600 43 000 46 600 41 760 636 400 678 160
Free State / Vrystaat
715 000 430 000 1 145 000 644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 477 600 2 009 000 5 486 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 500 10 000 13 500 3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 53 000 98 000 45 000 50 000 95 000 301 500 380 000 681 500
Mpumalanga
140 000 346 000 486 000 140 000 340 000 480 000 480 000 2 040 000 2 880 000
Limpopo
9 000 16 000 25 000 12 000 21 000 33 000 90 000 147 000 237 000
Gauteng
47 000 58 000 105 000 50 000 62 000 112 000 290 000 372 000 662 000
North West / Noordwes
410 000 115 000 525 000 370 000 110 000 480 000 1 739 000 440 000 2 179 000
Total / Totaal
1 373 400 1 075 000 2 448 400 1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 801 560 6 129 650 12 931 210

¹  26 September 2018

Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Intentions to plant  2019  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate ¹
Finale skatting ¹
Ha Ha Tons
2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 500 1 600 1 920
Free State / Vrystaat 290 000 314 000 486 700
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 1 000 2 300 2 185
Limpopo 80 000 45 000 36 000
Gauteng 3 500 5 500 5 500
North West / Noordwes 200 000 233 000 326 200
Total / Totaal 575 000 601 500 858 605

¹  26 September 2018

Soybeans / Sojabone
Intentions to plant  2019  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate ¹
Finale skatting ¹
Ha Ha Tons
2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 400 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 400 000 345 000 552 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 400 2 400 2 400
KwaZulu-Natal 38 000 40 000 124 000
Mpumalanga 320 000 310 000 682 000
Limpopo 20 000 20 000 56 000
Gauteng 28 000 30 000 61 500
North West / Noordwes 40 000 36 000 61 200
Total / Totaal 851 800 787 200 1 550 800

¹  26 September 2018

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Intentions to plant (2019)  October 25 Oktober 2018  Voorneme om te plant (2019)

Producers intentions to plant summer crops are based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries and reflects the position as at the middle of October 2018.

According to the results of the survey, commercial producers intend to plant 2,448 million ha of maize for 2019, which is 5,6% or 129 550 ha more than the 2,319 million ha planted last season.

The figures show that producers intend to plant 1,373 million ha to white maize, which is 105 300 ha (8,3%) more than in the previous season. In the case of yellow maize, the expected plantings are 1,075 million ha, which is 24 250 ha (2,3%) more than in the previous season.

Producers indicated that more maize, especially white maize, will be planted for the 2019 season, mainly because of crop rotation practices.

In the case of sunflower seed, the expected area planted is estimated at 575 000 ha, which is 4,4% or 26 500 ha less than the 601 500 ha planted last season.

The intended plantings of soybeans shows an increase of 8,2% or 64 600 ha compared to the previous season – from 787 200 ha to 851 800 ha.

The expected plantings of groundnuts will decrease by 11,2% or 6 300 ha, from 56 300 ha to 50 000 ha.

The intended plantings of sorghum is expected to increase by 49,3% or 14 200 ha to 43 000 ha, compared to the previous season.

The expected plantings of dry beans is estimated at 60 000 ha, which is 12,4% or 6 640 ha more than in the previous season.


Please note that the preliminary area planted estimate for summer grains for 2019 will be released on 29 January 2019.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Produsente se voorneme om somergewasse te plant is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Bosbou en Visserye en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van Oktober 2018.

Volgens die resultate van die opname, is kommersiële produsente van voorneme om 2,448 miljoen ha mielies vir 2019 te plant, wat 5,6% of 129 550 ha meer is as die 2,319 miljoen ha aangeplant verlede seisoen.

Die syfers toon dat produsente van voorneme is om 1,373 miljoen ha witmielies aan te plant, wat 105 300 ha (8,3%) meer is as in die vorige seisoen. In die geval met geelmielies is die verwagte aanplantings 1,075 miljoen ha, wat 24 250 ha (2,3%) meer is as in die vorige seisoen.

Produsente het aangedui dat meer mielies, veral witmielies, aangeplant sal word vir die 2019-seisoen, hoofsaaklik as gevolg van wisselboupraktyke.

In die geval van sonneblomsaad word die verwagte aanplantings beraam op 575 000 ha, wat 4,4% of 26 500 ha minder is as die 601 500 ha aangeplant verlede seisoen.

Die voorgenome sojaboon-aanplantings toon 'n toename van 8,2% of 64 600 ha, in vergelyking met die vorige seisoen – vanaf 787 200 ha tot 851 800 ha.

Die verwagte aanplantings van grondbone gaan afneem met 11,2% of 6 300 ha, van 56 300 ha tot 50 000 ha.

Die voorgenome aanplantings van sorghum sal na verwagting toeneem met 49,3% of 14 200 ha na 43 000 ha, in vergelyking met die vorige seisoen.

Die verwagte aanplantings van droëbone word beraam op 60 000 ha, wat 12,4% of 6 640 ha meer is as in die vorige seisoen.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir somergewasse vir 2019 op 29 Januarie 2019 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Revised area planted and third production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Wheat / Koring 508 350 1 862 400 1 845 100 491 600 1 535 000 +0.94
Malting barley / Moutgars 119 000 396 340 390 840 91 380 307 000 +1.41
Canola 77 000 115 500 111 650 84 000 93 500 +3.45

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2018/19 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2018/19 = 2019

Wheat: Western Cape / Koring: Wes-Kaap
Production   2008-2018   Produksie
Graph: production of wheat in the Western Cape (tons) 2008-2018

Wheat: Northern Cape / Koring: Noord-Kaap
Production   2008-2018   Produksie
Graph: production of wheat in the Northern Cape (tons) 2008-2018

Wheat: Free State / Koring: Vrystaat
Production   2008-2018   Produksie
Graph: production of wheat in the Free State (tons): 2008-2018
Wheat / Koring
Revised area planted and third production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 318 000 906 300 326 000 586 800
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 294 500 38 000 311 650
Free State / Vrystaat 100 000 365 000 80 000 336 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 650 10 725 1 900 9 500
KwaZulu-Natal 7 000 43 400 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 500 21 875 4 000 25 400
Limpopo 20 000 126 000 20 000 132 000
Gauteng 1 200 7 800 700 4 200
North West / Noordwes 14 000 86 800 13 500 83 700
Total / Totaal 508 350 1 862 400 491 600 1 535 000

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and third production forecast of winter crops for (2018)  October 25 Oktober 2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting van wintergewasse (2018)

Winter cereal crops – 2018 production season

Wheat

The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,862 million tons, which is 0,94% or 17 300 tons more than the previous forecast of 1,845 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,70 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 906 300 tons (49%), in the Free State 365 000 tons (20%) and in the Northern Cape 294 500 tons (16%).

The area estimate for wheat was revised to 503 350 ha, which is 5 000 ha lower than the 508 350 ha of the previous forecast. An estimated 318 000 ha or 63% is planted in the Western Cape, 100 000 ha or 20% in the Free State and 38 000 ha or 8% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley is 396 340 tons, which is 1,41% or 5 500 tons more than the previous forecast of 390 840 tons. The area planted is estimated at 119 000 ha, while the expected yield is 3,33 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 115 500 tons, which is 3,45% or 3 850 tons more than the previous forecast of 111 650 tons. The area estimate for canola is 77 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,50 t/ha.


Please note that the fourth production forecast for winter cereals for 2018 will be released on 27 November 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2018 produksieseisoen

Koring

Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,862 miljoen ton, wat 0,94% of 17 300 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,845 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,70 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 906 300 ton (49%), in die Vrystaat 365 000 ton (20%) en in die Noord-Kaap 294 500 ton (16%).

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 503 350 ha, wat 5 000 ha minder is as die 508 350 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Die beraamde oppervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 318 000 ha of 63%, die Vrystaat is 100 000 ha of 20% en 38 000 ha of 8% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 396 340 ton, wat 1,41% of 5 500 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 390 840 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 119 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,33 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 115 500 ton, wat 3,45% of 3 850 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 111 650 ton. Die opper­vlakteskatting vir canola is 77 000 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,50 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2018 op 27 November 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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