2018 Income and Cost Budgets

Free State – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat for Eastern and Central Free State
Area Eastern Free State Central Free State
Crop Wheat Wheat
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.60 2.60
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2018 R/ton 3 813 3 813
Total deductions R/ton 436 439
– Transport differential R/ton 270 273
– Grade differential R/ton 60 60
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 107 107
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 377 3 374
Gross income R/ha R8 780 R8 772

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha 688 688
Crop insurance R/ha 553 702
Fertilizer R/ha 1 578 1 578
Lime R/ha 520 353
Seed R/ha 286 286
Fuel R/ha 722 722
Herbicide R/ha 240 240
Insecticide R/ha 139 139
Fungicides R/ha
Marketing costs R/ha 113 113
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 627 627
Casual labour R/ha
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R5 467 R5 449
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 103 R2 096
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R3 313 R3 323
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 274 R1 278
Source: VKB, GSA and BFAP, 2018.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Free State
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Free State (Eastern and Central regions)

Gross margin per hectare: Free State (Eastern and Central regions)

Wheat sensitivity analysis (Central Free State)
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.60 2.75 3.00 3.25
R2 377 -1 308 -713 -119 713 1 069 1 664 2 258
R2 627 -870 -213 443 1 363 1 757 2 414 3 070
R2 877 -433 287 1 006 2 013 2 444 3 164 3 883
R3 127 5 787 1 568 2 663 3 132 3 914 4 695
R3 377 442 1 287 2 131 3 313 3 819 4 664 5 508
R3 627 880 1 787 2 693 3 963 4 507 5 414 6 320
R3 877 1 317 2 287 3 256 4 613 5 194 6 164 7 133
R4 127 1 755 2 787 3 818 5 263 5 882 6 914 7 945
R4 377 2 192 3 287 4 381 5 913 6 569 7 664 8 758
Wheat sensitivity analysis (Eastern Free State)
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.60 2.75 3.00 3.25
R2 374 -1 295 -701 -108 723 1 079 1 673 2 266
R2 624 -857 -201 455 1 373 1 767 2 423 3 079
R2 874 -420 299 1 017 2 023 2 454 3 173 3 891
R3 124 18 799 1 580 2 673 3 142 3 923 4 704
R3 374 455 1 299 2 142 3 323 3 829 4 673 5 516
R3 624 893 1 799 2 705 3 973 4 517 5 423 6 329
R3 874 1 330 2 299 3 267 4 623 5 204 6 173 7 141
R4 124 1 768 2 799 3 830 5 273 5 892 6 923 7 954
R4 374 2 205 3 299 4 392 5 923 6 579 7 673 8 766

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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