2018 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Swellendam/Heidelberg region)
Area Southern Cape: Swellendam/Heidelberg
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 3.00 1.60 2.50 2.40
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2018 R/ton 3 813 3 813 4 613 2 900 3 250
Total deductions R/ton 726 709 4
– Transport differential R/ton 560 560
– Grade differential R/ton 60 96
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 107 53 4
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 75 461
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 087 3 084 5 070 2 900 3 250
Gross income R/ha R9 261 R9 252 R8 112 R7 250 R7 800

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 26 31 27 24 26
Fertilizer R/ha 1 560 1 560 1 696 1 515 893
Lime R/ha 85 85 85 85 85
Seed R/ha 960 465 695 420 858
Fuel R/ha 433 441 441 431 413
Herbicide R/ha 1 465 1 303 1 020 625 933
Insecticide R/ha 260 112 629 106 130
Fungicides R/ha 602 1 121 439 610 224
Marketing costs R/ha 37 47 13
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 612 649 625 612 536
Casual labour R/ha 13 13 13 13 13
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R6 053 R5 828 R5 682 R4 441 R4 110
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 018 R1 943 R3 551 R1 776 R1 713
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R3 208 R3 424 R2 430 R2 809 R3 690
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 069 R1 141 R1 519 R1 124 R1 537
Source: SSK, GSA and BFAP, 2018.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Caledon region)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Swellendam/Heidelberg region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Swellendam/Heidelberg

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R2 087 -1 357 -836 -314 208 730 1 251 1 773
R2 337 -795 -211 374 958 1 542 2 126 2 711
R2 587 -232 414 1 061 1 708 2 355 3 001 3 648
R2 837 330 1 039 1 749 2 458 3 167 3 876 4 586
R3 087 893 1 664 2 436 3 208 3 980 4 751 5 523
R3 337 1 455 2 289 3 124 3 958 4 792 5 626 6 461
R3 587 2 018 2 914 3 811 4 708 5 605 6 501 7 398
R3 837 2 580 3 539 4 499 5 458 6 417 7 376 8 336
R4 087 3 143 4 164 5 186 6 208 7 230 8 251 9 273
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R2 084 -1 139 -618 -97 424 945 1 466 1 987
R2 334 -576 7 591 1 174 1 758 2 341 2 925
R2 584 -14 632 1 278 1 924 2 570 3 216 3 862
R2 834 549 1 257 1 966 2 674 3 383 4 091 4 800
R3 084 1 111 1 882 2 653 3 424 4 195 4 966 5 737
R3 334 1 674 2 507 3 341 4 174 5 008 5 841 6 675
R3 584 2 236 3 132 4 028 4 924 5 820 6 716 7 612
R3 834 2 799 3 757 4 716 5 674 6 633 7 591 8 550
R4 084 3 361 4 382 5 403 6 424 7 445 8 466 9 487
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.60 2.00 2.25 2.50
R4 070 -1 612 -595 423 830 2 458 3 475 4 493
R4 320 -1 362 -282 798 1 230 2 958 4 038 5 118
R4 570 -1 112 30 1 173 1 630 3 458 4 600 5 743
R4 820 -862 343 1 548 2 030 3 958 5 163 6 368
R5 070 -612 655 1 923 2 430 4 458 5 725 6 993
R5 320 -362 968 2 298 2 830 4 958 6 288 7 618
R5 570 -112 1 280 2 673 3 230 5 458 6 850 8 243
R5 820 138 1 593 3 048 3 630 5 958 7 413 8 868
R6 070 388 1 905 3 423 4 030 6 458 7 975 9 493
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R4 320 R4 570 R4 820 R5 070 R5 320 R5 570 R5 820
0.75 -5 650 -5 463 -5 275 -5 088 -4 900 -4 713 -4 525
1.00 -4 570 -4 320 -4 070 -3 820 -3 570 -3 320 -3 070
1.25 -3 490 -3 178 -2 865 -2 553 -2 240 -1 928 -1 615
1.50 -2 410 -2 035 -1 660 -1 285 -910 -535 -160
1.60 -1 978 -1 578 -1 178 -778 -378 22 422
2.00 -250 250 750 1 250 1 750 2 250 2 750
2.25 830 1 392 1 955 2 517 3 080 3 642 4 205
2.50 1 910 2 535 3 160 3 785 4 410 5 035 5 660
2.75 2 990 3 677 4 365 5 052 5 740 6 427 7 115

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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