2018 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat and canola for Southern Swartland
Area Southern Swartland
Crop Wheat Canola
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.30 1.65
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2018 R/ton 3 813 4 613
Total deductions R/ton 726 4
– Transport differential R/ton 560
– Grade differential R/ton 60
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 107 4
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 461
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 087 5 070
Gross income R/ha R10 187 R8 366

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 29 28
Fertilizer R/ha 2 597 2 414
Lime R/ha 139 139
Seed R/ha 676 1 112
Fuel R/ha 438 335
Herbicide R/ha 987 483
Insecticide R/ha 89 119
Fungicides R/ha 590 365
Marketing costs R/ha 37 13
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 673 639
Casual labour R/ha 13 13
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R6 267 R5 658
Total variable expenditure R/ton R1 899 R3 429
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R3 920 R2 707
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 188 R1 641
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, 2018.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Southern Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Swartland

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.30 3.50 3.75 4.00
R2 087 -1 050 -528 -6 620 1 037 1 559 2 081
R2 337 -425 160 744 1 445 1 912 2 497 3 081
R2 587 200 847 1 494 2 270 2 787 3 434 4 081
R2 837 825 1 535 2 244 3 095 3 662 4 372 5 081
R3 087 1 450 2 222 2 994 3 920 4 537 5 309 6 081
R3 337 2 075 2 910 3 744 4 745 5 412 6 247 7 081
R3 587 2 700 3 597 4 494 5 570 6 287 7 184 8 081
R3 837 3 325 4 285 5 244 6 395 7 162 8 122 9 081
R4 087 3 950 4 972 5 994 7 220 8 037 9 059 10 081
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.65 1.75 2.00 2.25
R4 070 -1 588 -571 447 1 057 1 464 2 482 3 499
R4 320 -1 338 -258 822 1 470 1 902 2 982 4 062
R4 570 -1 088 54 1 197 1 882 2 339 3 482 4 624
R4 820 -838 367 1 572 2 295 2 777 3 982 5 187
R5 070 -588 679 1 947 2 707 3 214 4 482 5 749
R5 320 -338 992 2 322 3 120 3 652 4 982 6 312
R5 570 -88 1 304 2 697 3 532 4 089 5 482 6 874
R5 820 162 1 617 3 072 3 945 4 527 5 982 7 437
R6 070 412 1 929 3 447 4 357 4 964 6 482 7 999
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R4 320 R4 570 R4 820 R5 070 R5 320 R5 570 R5 820
0.75 -6 338 -6 150 -5 963 -5 775 -5 588 -5 400 -5 213
1.00 -5 258 -5 008 -4 758 -4 508 -4 258 -4 008 -3 758
1.25 -4 178 -3 865 -3 553 -3 240 -2 928 -2 615 -2 303
1.50 -3 098 -2 723 -2 348 -1 973 -1 598 -1 223 -848
1.65 -2 450 -2 037 -1 625 -1 212 -800 -387 25
1.75 -2 018 -1 580 -1 143 -705 -268 170 607
2.00 -938 -438 62 562 1 062 1 562 2 062
2.25 142 705 1 267 1 830 2 392 2 955 3 517
2.50 1 222 1 847 2 472 3 097 3 722 4 347 4 972

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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