2018 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and lupins for Darling Flats – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Area Darling Flats – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Crop Wheat Canola Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.35 1.20 1.35
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2018 R/ton 3 813 4 613 3 250
Total deductions R/ton 726 4
– Transport differential R/ton 560
– Grade differential R/ton 60
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 107 4
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 461
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 087 5 070 3 250
Gross income R/ha R7 254 R6 084 R4 388

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 20 20 14
Fertilizer R/ha 1 961 1 854 408
Lime R/ha 139 139 139
Seed R/ha 535 1 042 500
Fuel R/ha 438 311 315
Herbicide R/ha 863 416 485
Insecticide R/ha 89 119 46
Fungicides R/ha 251 91 80
Marketing costs R/ha 37 13
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 537 440 461
Casual labour R/ha 13 13 13
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R4 883 R4 458 R2 461
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 078 R3 715 R1 823
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R2 372 R1 626 R1 926
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 009 R1 355 R1 427
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, 2018.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Southern Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Darling Flats – Hopefield

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.35 2.50 2.75 3.00
R2 087 -1 752 -1 231 -709 22 335 856 1 378
R2 337 -1 377 -793 -209 609 960 1 544 2 128
R2 587 -1 002 -356 291 1 197 1 585 2 231 2 878
R2 837 -627 82 791 1 784 2 210 2 919 3 628
R3 087 -252 519 1 291 2 372 2 835 3 606 4 378
R3 337 123 957 1 791 2 959 3 460 4 294 5 128
R3 587 498 1 394 2 291 3 547 4 085 4 981 5 878
R3 837 873 1 832 2 791 4 134 4 710 5 669 6 628
R4 087 1 248 2 269 3 291 4 722 5 335 6 356 7 378
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.20 1.50 1.75 2.00
R4 070 -2 423 -1 405 -388 426 1 647 2 665 3 682
R4 320 -2 298 -1 218 -138 726 2 022 3 102 4 182
R4 570 -2 173 -1 030 112 1 026 2 397 3 540 4 682
R4 820 -2 048 -843 362 1 326 2 772 3 977 5 182
R5 070 -1 923 -655 612 1 626 3 147 4 415 5 682
R5 320 -1 798 -468 862 1 926 3 522 4 852 6 182
R5 570 -1 673 -280 1 112 2 226 3 897 5 290 6 682
R5 820 -1 548 -93 1 362 2 526 4 272 5 727 7 182
R6 070 -1 423 95 1 612 2 826 4 647 6 165 7 682
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R4 320 R4 570 R4 820 R5 070 R5 320 R5 570 R5 820
0.25 -5 749 -5 687 -5 624 -5 562 -5 499 -5 437 -5 374
0.50 -4 669 -4 544 -4 419 -4 294 -4 169 -4 044 -3 919
0.75 -3 589 -3 402 -3 214 -3 027 -2 839 -2 652 -2 464
1.00 -2 509 -2 259 -2 009 -1 759 -1 509 -1 259 -1 009
1.20 -1 645 -1 345 -1 045 -745 -445 -145 155
1.50 -349 26 401 776 1 151 1 526 1 901
1.75 731 1 168 1 606 2 043 2 481 2 918 3 356
2.00 1 811 2 311 2 811 3 311 3 811 4 311 4 811
2.25 2 891 3 543 4 016 4 578 5 141 5 703 6 266

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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