WINTER CROPS  //  2023 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and lupins for Darling-vlakte – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Area Darling-vlakte – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Crop Wheat Canola Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.35 1.40 1.80
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2023 R/ton 6 526 8 205 5 792
Total deductions R/ton 1 040 27 134
– Transport differential R/ton 750 99
– Grade differential R/ton 186
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 104 27 35
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 821
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 486 8 999 5 658
Gross income R/ha R12 893 R12 598 R10 184

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 37 36
Fertilizer R/ha 3 661 3 411 1 049
Lime R/ha 162 162 232
Seed R/ha 826 1 352 667
Fuel R/ha 776 551 558
Herbicide R/ha 1 212 994 907
Insecticide R/ha 364 286 187
Fungicides R/ha 557 630 501
Marketing costs R/ha 48 15
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 800 680 700
Casual labour R/ha 20 22 18
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 105 93 93
Total variable expenditure R/ha R8 568 R8 234 R4 913
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 646 R5 881 R2 729
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R4 325 R4 365 R5 272
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 840 R3 118 R2 929
Break-even yield T/ha 1.56 0.91 0.87
Break-even price R/ton R3 646 R5 881 R2 729
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2023.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Darling-vlakte – Hopefield

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.35 2.50 2.75 3.00
R4 486 -1 838 -717 405 1 975 2 648 3 770 4 891
R4 736 -1 463 -279 905 2 563 3 273 4 457 5 641
R4 986 -1 088 158 1 405 3 150 3 898 5 145 6 391
R5 236 -713 596 1 905 3 738 4 523 5 832 7 141
R5 486 -338 1 033 2 405 4 325 5 148 6 520 7 891
R5 736 37 1 471 2 906 4 913 5 773 7 207 8 641
R5 986 412 1 908 3 405 5 500 6 398 7 895 9 391
R6 236 787 2 346 3 905 6 088 7 023 8 582 10 141
R6 386 1 162 2 783 4 405 6 675 7 648 9 270 10 891
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.70 0.95 1.20 1.40 1.70 1.95 2.20
R7 999 -2 534 -635 1 365 2 965 5 364 7 364 9 364
R8 249 -2 459 -397 1 665 3 315 5 789 7 852 9 914
R8 499 -2 284 -160 1 965 3 665 6 214 8 339 10 464
R8 749 -2 109 78 2 265 4 015 6 639 8 827 11 014
R8 999 -1 934 315 2 565 4 365 7 064 9 314 11 564
R9 249 -1 759 553 2 865 4 715 7 489 9 802 12 114
R9 499 -1 584 790 3 165 5 065 7 914 10 289 12 664
R9 749 -1 409 1 028 3 465 5 415 8 339 10 777 13 214
R9 999 -1 234 1 265 3 765 5 765 8 764 11 264 13 764
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R8 249 R8 499 R8 749 R8 999 R9 249 R9 499 R9 749
0.25 -10 497 -10 434 -10 372 -10 309 -10 247 -10 184 -10 122
0.70 -6 785 -6 610 -6 435 -6 260 -6 085 -5 910 -5 735
0.95 -4 722 -4 485 -4 247 -4 010 -3 772 -3 535 -3 297
1.20 -2 660 -2 360 -2 060 -1 760 -1 460 -1 160 -860
1.40 -1 010 -660 -310 40 390 740 1 090
1.70 1 464 1 889 2 314 2 739 3 164 3 589 4 014
1.95 3 526 4 014 4 501 4 989 5 476 5 964 6 451
2.20 5 589 6 139 6 689 7 239 7 789 8 339 8 889
2.25 6 001 6 564 7 126 7 689 8 251 8 814 9 376

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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