Fifth production forecast winter cereals (2019) / Vyfde produksieskatting wintergewasse (2019)

Index of December 19 Desember Indeks
Crop Estimates Committee logo
Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted and fifth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2019 2019 2019 2018 2018
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 540 000 1 598 500 1 618 460 503 350 1 868 000 -1.23
Malting barley / Moutgars 131 960 320 940 358 760 119 000 421 500 -10.54
Canola 74 000 96 200 96 200 77 000 104 500
Cereal oats / Hawermout 27 200 27 490 31 240 19 235 32 700 -12.00

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/2020 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/2020 = 2019

Wheat / Koring
Area planted and fifth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2019 2019 2018 2018
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 325 000 666 250 318 000 890 500
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 37 500 270 000 38 000 294 500
Free State / Vrystaat 128 000 358 400 100 000 385 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 3 100 15 500 1 650 10 730
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 45 750 7 000 43 400
Mpumalanga 4 000 25 200 3 500 22 740
Limpopo 20 000 128 000 20 000 128 000
Gauteng 1 400 8 400 1 200 7 800
North West / Noordwes 13 500 81 000 14 000 85 330
Total / Totaal 540 000 1 598 500 503 350 1 868 000

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/20 = 2020
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/20 = 2020

Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2019   Produksie
Wheat production (2010-2019)
Malting barley / Moutgars
Production   2010-2019   Produksie
Malting barley production (2010-2019)
Canola
Production   2010-2019   Produksie
Canola production (2010-2019)

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fifth production forecast for 2019 / Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksiekskatting vir 2019

Winter cereal crops – 2019

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 1,598 million tons, which is 1,23% or 19 960 tons less than the previous forecast of 1,618 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 2,96 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 666 250 tons (42%), in the Free State 358 400 tons (22%) and in the Northern Cape 270 000 tons (17%).

An estimated 325 000 ha or 60% is planted in the Western Cape, 128 000 ha or 24% in the Free State and 37 500 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley is 320 940 tons, which is 10,54% or 37 820 tons less than the previous forecast of 358 760 tons. The area planted is estimated at 131 960 ha, whilst the expected yield is 2,43 t/ha.

The expected canola crop remained unchanged at 96 200 tons. The area estimate for canola is 74 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,30 t/ha.

The area estimate for oats (cereals) for the 2019 season is 27 200 ha and the expected crop is 27 490 tons. The expected yield is 1,01 t/ha.


Please note that the sixth production forecast for winter cereals (2019) and the preliminary area planted estimate for summer grains (2020) will be released on 29 January 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2019

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 1,598 miljoen ton, wat 1,23% of 19 960 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 1,618 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 2,96 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 666 250 ton (42%), in die Vrystaat 358 400 ton (22%) en in die Noord-Kaap 270 000 ton (17%).

Die beraamde oppervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 325 000 ha of 60%, die Vrystaat is 128 000 ha of 24% en 37 500 ha of 7% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 320 940 ton, wat 10,54% of 37 820 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 358 760 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 131 960 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 2,43 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 96 200 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 74 000 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,30 t/ha.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir hawer (ontbytgraan) vir die 2019-seisoen is 27 200 ha en die verwagte oes is 27 490 ton. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,01 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sesde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse (2019) en die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir somergewasse (2020) op 29 Januarie 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.