Sixth production forecast for 2019 summer crops and preliminary area estimate for 2019 winter cereals.
Sesde produksieskatting vir 2019 somergewasse en voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir 2019 wintergewasse.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2019 2019 2019 2018 2018
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 298 400 5 572 240 5 488 040 1 268 100 6 540 000 +1.53
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 002 100 5 406 620 5 444 620 1 050 750 5 970 000 -0.70
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 300 500 10 978 860 10 932 660 2 318 850 12 510 000 +0.42
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 515 350 655 640 611 140 601 500 862 000 +7.28
Soybeans / Sojabone 730 500 1 170 345 1 216 395 787 200 1 540 000 -3.79
Groundnuts / Grondbone 20 050 18 880 20 580 56 300 57 000 -8.26
Sorghum 50 500 153 950 161 450 28 800 115 000 -4.65
Dry beans / Droëbone 59 300 66 355 66 530 53 360 69 360 -0.26
Non-commercial maize / Nie-Kommersiële mielies
Total maize / Totaal mielies 296 000 549 180 549 180 314 835 593 975
Commercial + Non-commercial maize / Kommersieël + Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize RSA Totaal mielies 2 596 500 11 528 040 11 481 840 2 633 685 13 103 975 +0.40

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2018/19 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2018/19 = 2019

White maize / Witmielies
Production   Feb-Jul 2019   Produksie
White maize production forecast: graph February-July 2019
Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   Feb-Jul 2019   Produksie
Yellow maize production forecast: graph February-July 2019
Total maize / Totaal mielies
Production   Feb-Jul 2019   Produksie
Total maize production forecast: graph February-July 2019
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Sixth forecast / Sesde skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹
2019 2019 2018 2018
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200 0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 400 43 500 46 900 39 440 626 400 665 840 3 600 43 000 46 600 41 300 628 000 669 300
Free State / Vrystaat
650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 795 000 1 596 000 4 391 000 644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 350 000 1 925 000 5 275 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 800 10 200 14 000 22 800 67 320 90 120 3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 54 000 99 000 270 000 383 400 653 400 45 000 50 000 95 000 280 000 380 000 660 000
Mpumalanga
145 000 338 000 483 000 812 000 1 875 900 2 687 900 140 000 340 000 480 000 812 000 2 005 000 2 817 000
Limpopo
12 800 18 000 30 800 83 200 117 000 200 200 12 000 21 000 33 000 90 000 141 700 231 700
Gauteng
48 000 60 000 108 000 259 200 330 000 589 200 50 000 62 000 112 000 275 000 356 500 631 500
North West / Noordwes
390 000 95 000 485 000 1 287 000 380 000 1 667 000 370 000 110 000 480 000 1 670 000 428 550 2 098 550
Total / Totaal
1 298 400 1 002 100 2 300 500 5 572 240 5 406 620 10 978 860 1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 540 000 5 970 000 12 510 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 950 1 140 1 600 1 920
Free State / Vrystaat 270 000 378 000 314 000 490 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 100 250
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 4 500 4 500 2 300 2 180
Limpopo 61 000 57 950 45 000 36 000
Gauteng 3 800 3 800 5 500 5 600
North West / Noordwes 175 000 210 000 233 000 326 200
Total / Totaal 515 350 655 640 601 500 862 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 10 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 550 5 425 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 301 000 391 300 345 000 552 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 150 1 380 2 400 2 900
KwaZulu-Natal 33 000 99 000 40 000 124 000
Mpumalanga 310 000 511 500 310 000 672 700
Limpopo 16 200 46 980 20 000 54 000
Gauteng 31 500 66 150 30 000 61 500
North West / Noordwes 36 000 48 600 36 000 61 200
Total / Totaal 730 500 1 170 345 787 200 1 540 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 2 520 2 800 7 000
Free State / Vrystaat 11 500 8 625 22 000 21 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 1 850 3 885 3 500 7 350
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 5 500 3 850 28 000 21 500
Total / Totaal 20 050 18 880 56 300 57 000
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 180 20 30
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 1 400 540 1 080
Free State / Vrystaat 27 000 28 350 26 000 28 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 400 720 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 500 4 200 3 000 3 600
Mpumalanga 7 500 6 750 7 000 9 800
Limpopo 7 800 12 480 7 500 15 000
Gauteng 1 500 1 950 1 000 1 200
North West / Noordwes 10 500 10 500 8 000 9 600
Total / Totaal 59 300 66 530 53 360 69 360
Sorghum
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 28 000 6 300 25 200
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 500 500 2 200
Mpumalanga 7 500 37 500 7 500 40 500
Limpopo 25 000 62 500 5 000 15 500
Gauteng 1 000 3 200 1 500 4 950
North West / Noordwes 8 500 21 250 8 000 26 650
Total / Totaal 50 500 153 950 28 800 115 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and sixth production forecast (2019) / Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting (2019)

Summer field crops – 2019

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 10,979 million tons, which is 0,42% or 46 200 tons more than the previous forecast of 10,933 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,301 million ha, while the expected yield is 4,77 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 12% smaller than the 2018 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 80% of the 2019 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,298 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,002 million ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 5,572 million tons, which is 1,53% or 84 200 tons more than the 5,488 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 4,29 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 5,407 million tons, which is 0,70% or 38 000 tons less than the 5,445 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,40 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed increased by 7,28% or 44 500 tons to 655 640 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 515 350 ha, while the expected yield is 1,27 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans is 1,170 million tons, which is 3,79% or 46 050 tons less than the previous forecast of 1,216 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 730 500 ha and the expected yield is 1,60 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop decreased by 8,26% or 1 700 tons to 18 880 tons, with an expected yield of 0,94 t/ha. The area estimate for groundnuts is 20 050 ha.

The production forecast for sorghum also decreased by 4,65% or 7 500 tons, from 161 450 tons to 153 950 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 50 500 ha and the expected yield is 3,05 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast has been adjusted slightly downwards by 0,26% or 175 tons – from 66 530 tons to 66 355 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 59 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,12 t/ha.


Please note that the seventh production forecast for summer field crops for 2019 will be released on 27 August 2019.

Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2019

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 10,979 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,42% of 46 200 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 10,933 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,301 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,77 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 12% kleiner as die 2018-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 80% van die 2019-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,298 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 1,002 miljoen ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is onveranderd gelaat op 5,572 miljoen ton, wat 1,53% of 84 200 ton meer is as die 5,488 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 4,29 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,407 miljoen ton, wat 0,70% of 38 000 ton minder is as die 5,445 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,40 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad het toegeneem met 7,28% of 44 500 ton na 655 640 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 515 350 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,27 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,170 miljoen ton, wat 3,79% of 46 050 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 1,216 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 730 500 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,60 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes het met 8,26% of 1 700 ton tot 18 880 ton afgeneem, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 0,94 t/ha. Die oppervlakteskatting vir grondbone is 20 050 ha.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum het ook afgeneem met 4,65% of 7 500 ton, van 161 450 ton tot 153 950 ton. Die opper­vlakte­skatting vir sorghum is 50 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,05 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting effens afwaarts aangepas met 0,26% of 175 ton – van 66 530 ton na 66 355 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 59 300 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,12 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sewende produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2019, op 27 Augustus 2019 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2019  Voorlopige oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2019 2019 2018 2018
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 221 300 379 460 236 644 414 162 -8.38
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 74 700 169 720 78 191 179 813 -5.61
Maize / Mielies 296 000 549 180 314 835 593 975 -7.54

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 296 000 ha, which represents a decrease of 5,98%, compared to the 314 835 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 549 180 tons, which is 7,54% less than the 593 975 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 43% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 27%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 296 000 ha, wat 'n afname van 5,98 % verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 314 835 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 549 180 ton, wat 7,54% minder is as die 593 975 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 43% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 27%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2019   Oppervlakte
Non-commercial maize: area planted (2000 to 2019 season)
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2019   Produksie
Non-commercial maize: production (2000 to 2019 season)
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area planted estimate  2019  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2019 Mid April 2019 2018 2018
Ha Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (A) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 536 950 513 450 503 350 1 868 000 +6.68
Malting barley / Moutgars 120 500 118 500 119 000 421 790 +1.26
Canola 74 000 80 000 77 000 104 500 -3.90
Cereal oats / Hawermout 22 000 N/A 19 235 32 700 +14.37

*  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2019. / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2019.

Wheat / Koring
Preliminary area planted estimate  2019  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2019 Mid April 2019 2018 2018
Ha Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 324 000 324 000 318 000 890 400
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 36 000 34 000 38 000 294 500
Free State / Vrystaat 125 000 105 000 100 000 385 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 3 500 3 500 1 650 10 730
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 7 500 7 000 43 400
Mpumalanga 3 450 3 450 3 500 22 740
Limpopo 23 000 22 000 20 000 128 000
Gauteng 1 000 1 000 1 200 7 800
North West / Noordwes 13 500 13 000 14 000 85 330
Total / Totaal 536 950 513 450 503 350 1 868 000

*  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2019. / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2019.

RSA Wheat / RSA Koring
Area   2005-2019   Oppervlakte
Area planted to RSA Wheat: graph 2005-2019
RSA Malting barley / RSA Moutgars
Area   2005-2019   Oppervlakte
Area planted to RSA Malting barley: graph 2005-2019
RSA Canola
Area   2005-2019   Oppervlakte
Area planted to RSA Canola: graph 2005-2019

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area estimate for 2019 / Voorlopige oppervlaktekskatting vir 2019

Winter cereal crops – 2019

The preliminary area estimate is based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis and reflects the position as at the middle of July 2019, as well as inputs from the PDA representatives. Please note that the information from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), as conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), for the Western Cape will be available in August 2019 and for the Free State in September 2019.

Wheat

The preliminary area estimate for wheat is 536 950 ha, which is 6,68% or 33 600 ha more than the 503 350 ha planted for the previous season.

An estimated 324 000 ha is planted in the Western Cape, which is 6 000 ha more than the 318 000 ha planted for the previous season. In the Free State, 125 000 ha is planted, which is 25 000 ha more than the 100 000 ha planted for the previous season. The area planted in the Northern Cape is 36 000 ha, which is 2 000 ha less than the previous season.

Other crops

The preliminary area estimate for malting barley is 120 500 ha, which is 1,26% or 1 500 ha more than the 119 000 ha of last season.

The area planted to canola is 74 000 ha, which is 3,90% or 3 000 ha less than the 77 000 ha planted for the previous season.

Following a request from industry, it was decided to incorporate oats (for cereals) in future estimates. The preliminary area estimate for oats for the 2019 season is 22 000 ha.


Please note that the revised area planted estimate and first production forecast for winter cereals for 2019 will be released on 27 August 2019.

Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2019

Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van Julie 2019, sowel as insette van die PDL ver­teenwoordigers. Let wel, inligting van die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstelsel ("PICES"), soos gedoen deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium, sal vir die Wes-Kaap in Augustus 2019 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat in September 2019.

Koring

Die voorlopige skatting van die oppervlakte onder koring beloop 536 950 ha, wat 6,68% of 33 600 ha meer is as die 503 350 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.

Die beraamde oppervlakte beplant in die Wes-Kaap is 324 000 ha, wat 6 000 ha meer is as die 318 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Vir die Vrystaat is die aanplantings 125 000 ha, wat 25 000 ha meer is as die 100 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Die oppervlakte beplant in die Noord-Kaap is 36 000 ha, wat 2 000 ha minder is as die vorige seisoen.

Ander gewasse

Die voorlopige oppervlakskatting vir moutgars is 120 500 ha, wat 1,26% of 1 500 ha meer is as die 119 000 ha van verlede seisoen.

Die oppervlakte onder canola is 74 000 ha, wat 3,90% of 3 000 ha minder is as die 77 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.

Na aanleiding van 'n versoek van die bedryf, is daar besluit om hawer (ontbytgraan) in toekomstige skattings te inkorporeer. Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir hawer vir die 2019-seisoen is 22 000 ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2019 op 25 Julie 2019 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.