Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 27 February 2019

Revised area planted and first production forecast for 2019 summer crops. Final production estimate for 2018 winter cereals.
Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting vir 2019 somergewasse. Finale produksieskatting vir 2018 wintergewasse.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2019  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2019 2019 2018 2018
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 298 200 5 152 900 1 268 100 6 540 000 -21.2
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 003 600 5 357 120 2 050 750 5 970 000 -10.3
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 301 800 10 510 020 2 318 850 12 510 000 -16.0
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 515 350 563 590 601 500 862 000 -34.6
Soybeans / Sojabone 730 500 1 276 035 787 200 1 540 000 -17.1
Groundnuts / Grondbone 20 050 21 100 56 300 57 000 -64.7
Sorghum 50 500 168 400 28 800 115 000 +46.4
Dry beans / Droëbone 59 300 70 950 53 360 69 360 +2.3
Total / Totaal 3 677 500 12 609 095 3 846 010 15 153 360 -16.8

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2018/19 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2018/19 = 2019

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2019   Produksie
Graph showing Total maize production: 2010-2019
White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2019   Produksie
Graph showing White maize production: 2010-2019
Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2019   Produksie
Graph showing Yellow maize production: 2010-2019
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2019  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant First forecast / Eerste skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹
2019 2019 2018 2018
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200 0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 200 45 000 48 200 36 800 639 000 675 800 3 600 43 000 46 600 41 300 628 000 669 300
Free State / Vrystaat
650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 470 000 1 596 000 4 066 000 644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 350 000 1 925 000 5 275 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 800 10 200 14 000 22 800 67 320 90 120 3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 54 000 99 000 265 500 378 000 643 500 45 000 50 000 95 000 280 000 380 000 660 000
Mpumalanga
145 000 338 000 483 000 783 000 1 825 200 2 608 200 140 000 340 000 480 000 812 000 2 005 000 2 817 000
Limpopo
12 800 18 000 30 800 83 200 117 000 200 200 12 000 21 000 33 000 90 000 141 700 231 700
Gauteng
48 000 60 000 108 000 240 000 324 000 564 000 50 000 62 000 112 000 275 000 356 500 631 500
North West / Noordwes
390 000 95 000 485 000 1 248 000 380 000 1 628 000 370 000 110 000 480 000 1 670 000 428 550 2 098 550
Total / Totaal
1 298 200 1 003 600 2 301 800 5 152 900 5 357 120 10 510 020 1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 540 000 5 970 000 12 510 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2019  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 950 1 140 1 600 1 920
Free State / Vrystaat 270 000 324 000 314 000 490 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 100 250
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 4 500 4 500 2 300 2 180
Limpopo 61 000 54 900 45 000 36 000
Gauteng 3 800 3 800 5 500 5 600
North West / Noordwes 175 000 175 000 233 000 326 200
Total / Totaal 515 350 563 590 601 500 862 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2019  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 200 200 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 550 5 425 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 301 000 426 450 345 000 552 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 150 1 380 2 400 2 900
KwaZulu-Natal 33 000 102 300 40 000 124 000
Mpumalanga 310 000 573 500 310 000 672 700
Limpopo 16 200 46 980 20 000 54 000
Gauteng 31 500 63 000 30 000 61 500
North West / Noordwes 36 000 46 800 36 000 61 200
Total / Totaal 730 500 1 276 035 787 200 1 540 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2019  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 2 400 2 800 7 000
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 6 800 22 000 21 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 1 850 3 700 3 500 7 350
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 9 000 7 200 28 000 21 500
Total / Totaal 20 050 20 100 56 300 57 000
Dry beans / Droëbone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2019  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 200 20 30
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 2 000 540 1 080
Free State / Vrystaat 27 000 28 350 26 000 28 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 400 800 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 500 4 200 3 000 3 600
Mpumalanga 7 500 6 000 7 000 9 800
Limpopo 7 800 15 600 7 500 15 000
Gauteng 1 500 2 250 1 000 1 200
North West / Noordwes 10 500 11 550 8 000 9 600
Total / Totaal 59 300 70 950 53 360 69 360
Sorghum
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2019  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 28 800 6 300 25 200
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 750 500 2 200
Mpumalanga 7 500 37 500 7 500 40 500
Limpopo 25 000 72 500 5 000 15 500
Gauteng 1 000 3 200 1 500 4 950
North West / Noordwes 8 500 24 650 8 000 26 650
Total / Totaal 50 500 168 400 28 800 115 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area estimate and first production forecast (2019) / Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting (2019)

Summer field crops – 2019

Commercial maize: The revised area estimate for maize is 2 301 800 ha, which is 0,74% or 17 050 ha less than the 2 318 850 ha planted for the previous season, but 1,45% or 32 900 ha more than the preliminary area estimate of 2 268 900 ha released in January 2019.

The expected commercial maize crop is 10 510 020 tons, which is 15,99% or 1 999 980 tons less than the 12 510 000 tons of the previous season (2018). The yield for maize is 4,57 t/ha.

The area planted figures are mainly based on information obtained from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC) for Free State, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Gauteng and North West provinces.

Please note that information from the objective yield survey by the NCSC for the Mpumalanga province will be available in April 2019; and for the Free State and North West provinces in May 2019. The current yield figures are mainly obtained from producers in the different provinces.

The area estimate for white maize is 1 298 200 ha, which represents an increase of 2,37% or 30 100 ha compared to the 1 268 100 ha planted last season. The production forecast of white maize is 5 152 900 tons, which is 21,21% or 1 387 100 tons less than the 6 540 000 tons of last season. The yield for white maize is 3,97 t/ha.

In the case of yellow maize, the area estimate is 1 003 600 ha, which is 4,49% or 47 150 ha less than the 1 050 750 ha planted last season. The yellow maize production forecast is 5 357 120 tons, which is 10,27% or 612 880 tons less than the 5 970 000 tons of last season. The yield for yellow maize is 5,34 t/ha.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The revised area estimate for sunflower seed is 515 350 ha, which is 14,32% or 86 150 ha less than the 601 500 ha planted the previous season. The production forecast for sunflower seed is 563 590 tons, which is 34,62% or 298 410 tons less than the 862 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,09 t/ha.

Other crops

It is estimated that 730 500 ha have been planted to soybeans, which represents a decrease of 7,20% or 56 700 ha compared to the 787 200 ha planted last season. The production forecast is 1 276 035 tons, which is 17,14% or 263 965 tons less than the 1 540 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,75 t/ha.

For groundnuts, the area estimate is 20 050 ha, which is 64,39% or 36 250 ha less than the 56 300 ha planted for the previous season. The expected crop is 20 100 tons – which is 64,74% or 36 900 tons less than the 57 000 tons of last season. The expected yield is 1,00 t/ha.

The area estimate for sorghum increased by 75,35% or 21 700 ha, from 28 800 ha to 50 500 ha against the previous season. The production forecast for sorghum is 168 400 tons, which is 46,43% or 53 400 tons more than the 115 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 3,33 t/ha.

For dry beans, the area estimate is 59 300 ha, which is 11,13% or 5 940 ha more than the 53 360 ha planted for the previous season. The production forecast is 70 950 tons, which is 2,29% or 1 590 tons more than the 69 360 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,20 t/ha.


Please note that the second production forecast for summer field crops for 2019 will be released on 26 March 2019.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2019

Kommersiële mielies: Die hersiene skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies beloop 2 301 800 ha, wat 0,74% of 17 050 ha minder is as die 2 318 850 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is, maar 1,45% of 32 900 ha meer as die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting van 2 268 900 ha soos vrygestel in Januarie 2019.

Die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is 10 510 020 ton, wat 15,99% of 1 999 980 ton minder is as die 12 510 000 ton van die vorige seisoen (2018). Die opbrengs van mielies is 4,57 t/ha.

Die oppervlakte beplant syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstelsel (PICES), soos deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium gerapporteer vir Vrystaat, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Gauteng en Noordwes provinsies.

Neem kennis dat inligting van die objektiewe opbrengs-opname van die Konsortium vir die Mpumalanga provinsie, in April 2019 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies in Mei 2019. Die huidige opbrengs syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf produsente in die verskillende provinsies.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1 298 200 ha, wat 'n toename van 2,37% of 30 100 ha verteenwoordig vergeleke met die 1 268 100 ha die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 5 152 900 ton, wat 21,21% of 1 387 100 ton minder is as die 6 540 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 3,97 t/ha.

In die geval van geelmielies is die oppervlakteskatting 1 003 600 ha, wat 4,49% of 47 150 ha minder is as die 1 050 750 ha geplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting van geelmielies is 5 357 120 ton, wat 10,27% of 612 880 ton minder is as die 5 970 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,34 t/ha.

Ander somergewasse:

Sonneblomsaad: Die hersiene oppervlakteskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 515 350 ha, wat 14,32% of 86 150 ha minder is as die 601 500 ha aangeplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 563 590 ton, wat 34,62% of 298 410 ton minder is as die 862 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,09 t/ha.

Ander gewasse

Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 730 500 ha, wat 'n afname van 7,20% of 56 700 ha verteenwoordig vergeleke met die 787 200 ha geplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting is 1 276 035 ton, wat 17,14% of 263 965 ton minder is as die 1 540 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,75 t/ha.

Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 20 050 ha, wat 64,39% of 36 250 ha minder is as die 56 300 ha geplant vir die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 20 100 ton – 64,74% of 36 900 ton minder as die 57 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,00 t/ha.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum het toegeneem met 75,35% of 21 700 ha, van 28 800 ha tot 50 500 ha teenoor die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 168 400 ton – 46,43% of 53 400 ton meer as die 115 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,33 t/ha.

Vir droëbone is die geskatte oppervlakte beplant 59 300 ha, wat 11,13% of 5 940 ha meer is as die 53 360 ha geplant vir die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting is 70 950 ton, wat 2,29% of 1 590 ton meer is as die 69 360 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,20 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2019, op 26 Maart 2019 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Wheat / Koring 508 350 1 841 050 1 798 800 491 600 1 535 000 +2.4
Malting barley / Moutgars 119 000 421 790 421 790 91 380 307 000
Canola 77 000 103 950 103 950 84 000 93 500
Total / totaal 699 350 2 366 790 2 324 540 666 980 1 935 500 +1.8

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018

Wheat / Koring
Area planted estimate and final production estimate  2019  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 318 000 890 400 326 000 586 800
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 294 500 38 000 311 650
Free State / Vrystaat 100 000 360 000 80 000 336 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 650 10 725 1 900 9 500
KwaZulu-Natal 7 000 43 400 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 500 22 225 4 000 25 400
Limpopo 20 000 128 000 20 000 132 000
Gauteng 1 200 7 800 700 4 200
North West / Noordwes 14 000 84 000 13 500 83 700
Total / Totaal 503 350 1 841 050 491 600 1 535 000
RSA Wheat / RSA Koring
Production   1st to final   2018   1ste tot Finale   Produksie
RSA Wheat production graph: first to final forecast for 2018
RSA Malting barley / RSA Moutgars
Production   1st to final   2018   1ste tot Finale   Produksie
Graph of Wheat production for the Northern Cape 2008-2018
RSA Canola
Production   1st to final   2018   1ste tot Finale   Produksie
RSA Canola production graph: first to final forecast for 2018

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and final production estimate of winter crops for 2018 / Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting van wintergewasse 2018

Winter cereal crops – 2018 production season

Wheat

The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,841 million tons, which is 2,35% or 42 250 tons more than the previous forecast of 1,799 million tons. The expected yield is 3,66 t/ha.

The area estimate for wheat is 503 350 ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley remained unchanged at 421 790 tons. The current crop of 421 790 tons is the highest crop ever produced in the RSA. The area planted is estimated at 119 000 ha, while the expected yield is 3,54 t/ha.

The expected canola crop remained unchanged at 103 950 tons. The area estimate for canola is 77 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,35 t/ha.


Please note that the intentions to plant winter cereals for 2019 will be released on 25 April 2019.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2018 produksieseisoen

Koring

Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,841 miljoen ton, wat 2,35% of 42 250 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,799 miljoen ton. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,66 t/ha.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 503 350 ha.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is onveranderd gelaat op 421 790 ton. Die huidige skatting van 421 790 ton is die hoogste oes nog ooit geproduseer in die RSA. Die oppervlakte beplant is beraam op 119 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,54 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 103 950 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 77 000 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,35 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorneme om wintergewasse te plant vir 2019 op 25 April 2019 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
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  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.