Navorsingsverslag 2008/2009
Bylae III
Short- and medium-term requirements and usage of fishmeal and oilcake
(Updated January 2009)
Table 1Fishmeal (ton) | Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 |
Requirements / Sales | 60 000 | 55 000 | 100 000 | 1 635 526 | 1 758 185 | 1 700 000 |
Available / Produced | 87 000 | 91 700 | 91 000 | 608 370 | 494 557 | 695 291 |
Shortage / Imports | (-27 000) | (-36 700) | 9 000 | 1 027 156 | 1 263 628 | 1 004 709 |
2007/2008 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
Fishmeal (ton) | Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 |
AFMA Members | 78 284 | 37 841 | 28 216 | 907 582 | 1 063 945 | 1 127 178 |
Non-AFMA Members | 1 716 | 22 129 | 11 784 | 506 756 | 571 580 | 372 822 |
Total | 80 000 | 60 000 | 40 000 | 1 414 338 | 1 635 525 | 1 500 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raw Materials | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 | |||
Sunflower oilcake | 169 172 | 3.79 | 167 836 | 2.67 | 248 739 | 4.84 |
Groundnuts oilcake | 316 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.00 |
Soy oilcake | 653 463 | 14.64 | 752 073 | 15.35 | 720 345 | 14.01 |
Full fat soy | 183 047 | 4.10 | 130 609 | 2.67 | 79 209 | 1.54 |
Cotton oilcake | 35 590 | 0.80 | 19 068 | 0.39 | 23 042 | 0.45 |
Full fat cotton | 10 241 | 0.23 | 9 074 | 0.19 | 5 330 | 0.10 |
Canola oilcake | 4 330 | 0.10 | 2 963 | 0.06 | 2 362 | 0.05 |
Full fat canola | 3 757 | 0.08 | 553 | 0.01 | 53 | 0.00 |
Copra and Palm Kernel | 4 029 | 0.09 | 7 016 | 0.14 | 5 398 | 0.10 |
Maize Germ Oilcake | 2 859 | 0.06 | 5 750 | 0.12 | 3 509 | 0.07 |
Total oilcake | 1 063 945 | 24.67 | 1 094 941 | 22.34 | 1 087 989 | 21.16 |
Total maize products | 2 428 502 | 54.05 | 2 627 498 | 53.61 | 2 888 653 | 56.18 |
Total fishmeal | 37 871 | 0.88 | 48 156 | 1.12 | 93 247 | 1.81 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
AFMA raw material usage April 2008 to March 2009.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) | Imported fishmeal (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 |
RSA | 75 000 | 85 000 | 85 000 | |||
Namibia | 12 000 | 6 700 | 6 000 | |||
Total | 87 000 | 91 700 | 91 000 | (-27 000) | (-36 700) | 9 000 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2008/2009 – Estimate
Local Oilcake production (ton) | Imported Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 |
Oilcake: | ||||||
Groundnuts oilcake | 2 515 | 54 | 540 | 344 | ||
Sunflower oilcake | 199 500 | 138 558 | 371 935 | 68 808 | 103 987 | |
Soy cake | 113 440 | 115 200 | 258 396 | 808 051 | 904 214 | |
– Full fat | 189 840 | 138 000 | 3 949 | 104 377 | ||
– Beans | ||||||
Cotton cake | 32 500 | 32 500 | 32 500 | 99 617 | 109 988 | |
– Full fat | 35 000 | 35 000 | 39 766 | 33 338 | ||
Other | 6 965 | 7 425 | ||||
Canola | 21 175 | 21 945 | 22 120 | |||
Lupins | 14 400 | 13 300 | 9 800 | |||
Copra & Palm Kernel | ||||||
Total | 608 370 | 494 557 | 695 291 | 1 027 291 | 1 263 673 | 1 004 709 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Crop | 2004/2005 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
White maize | 5 805 000 | 6 540 700 | 4 187 400 | 4 315 000 | 7 480 000 |
Yellow maize | 3 677 000 | 4 909 300 | 2 430 600 | 2 810 000 | 5 220 000 |
Sorghum | 373 000 | 260 000 | 96 000 | 176 000 | 255 000 |
Groundnuts | 115 000 | 64 000 | 74 000 | 58 000 | 88 800 |
Sunflower | 648 000 | 620 000 | 520 000 | 300 000 | 872 000 |
Soybeans | 220 000 | 272 500 | 424 000 | 205 000 | 282 000 |
Cotton seed | 50 169 | 37 804 | 25 962 | 19 525 | 17 378 |
Wheat | 1 680 000 | 1 905 000 | 2 105 000 | 1 905 000 | 2 022 000 |
Sweet Lupins | 3 950 | 14 100 | 14 400 | 13 300 | 14 000 |
Canola | 32 000 | 44 200 | 36 500 | 38 150 | 34 000 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth forecast for winter crops (18 December 2008) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2008/2009 marketing year (27 November 2008).
¹ Cotton South Africa.
Crop | Opening stock | Imports to RSA | Production | Total supply |
---|---|---|---|---|
White maize | 618 000 | 0 | 7 480 000 | 8 098 000 |
Yellow maize | 439 000 | 0 | 5 220 000 | 5 659 000 |
Sorghum | 43 000 | 0 | 255 000 | 298 000 |
Groundnuts | 19 000 | 10 000 | 88 800 | 117 800 |
Sunflower | 95 000 | 3 000 | 872 000 | 970 000 |
Soybeans | 97 000 | 16 000 | 282 000 | 395 000 |
Wheat | 509 000 | 1 130 000 | 2 022 000 | 3 661 000 |
Canola | 10 900 | 0 | 34 000 | 44 900 |
Source: Opening stock, import, production and export figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8Ha planted | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crop | 2003/2004 | 2004/2005 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2008/2009 |
White maize | 1 842 000 | 1 700 000 | 1 033 000 | 1 624 800 | 1 737 000 | 1 600 000 |
Yellow maize | 1 001 300 | 1 110 000 | 567 200 | 927 000 | 1 062 000 | 962 000 |
Sorghum | 130 000 | 86 500 | 37 150 | 69 000 | 86 800 | 94 900 |
Groundnuts | 71 500 | 40 000 | 48 550 | 40 770 | 54 200 | 57 500 |
Sunflower | 530 000 | 460 000 | 472 480 | 316 350 | 564 300 | 586 400 |
Soybeans | 135 000 | 150 000 | 240 570 | 183 000 | 165 400 | 227 500 |
Wheat | 748 000 | 830 000 | 805 000 | 764 800 | 632 000 | 748 000 |
Sweet Lupins | 10 100 | 7 100 | 14 100 | 16 000 | 14 000 | 14 000 |
Canola | 44 200 | 44 250 | 40 200 | 32 000 | 33 260 | 34 000 |
Total | 4 512 100 | 4 427 850 | 3 258 250 | 3 973 720 | 4 348 960 | 4 324 300 |
National Crops Estimates Committee – Intentions to plant summer crops 2008/2009 production season (23 October 2008). Fifth area estimate for winter crops 2008/2009 production season (18 December 2008).
Table 9Crop | Season |
White maize | May-April |
Yellow maize | May-April |
Sorghum | April-March |
Groundnuts | March-February |
Sunflower | January-December |
Soybeans | January-December |
Wheat | October-September |