Navorsingsverslag 2007/2008
Bylae III
Short- and medium-term requirements and usage of fishmeal and oilcake
(Updated January 2008)
Table 1Fishmeal (ton) | Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 |
Requirements / Sales | 80 000 | 60 000 | 40 000 | 1 414 338 | 1 635 525 | 1 500 000 |
Available / Produced | 101 000 | 87 000 | 111 000 | 572 231 | 608 370 | 508 759 |
Shortage / Imports | (-21 000) | (-27 000) | (-71 000) | 842 107 | 1 027 155 | 991 241 |
2006/2007 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
Fishmeal (ton) | Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 |
AFMA Members | 78 284 | 37 841 | 28 216 | 907 582 | 1 063 945 | 1 127 178 |
Non-AFMA Members | 1 716 | 22 129 | 11 784 | 506 756 | 571 580 | 372 822 |
Total | 80 000 | 60 000 | 40 000 | 1 414 338 | 1 635 525 | 1 500 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raw Materials | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | |||
Sunflower oilcake | 216 605 | 5.02 | 169 172 | 3.79 | 160 370 | 3.24 |
Groundnuts oilcake | 2 636 | 0.06 | 316 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.00 |
Soy oilcake | 473 885 | 10.98 | 653 463 | 14.64 | 746 016 | 15.05 |
Full fat soy | 147 702 | 3.43 | 183 047 | 4.10 | 164 564 | 3.32 |
Cotton oilcake | 50 865 | 1.18 | 35 590 | 0.80 | 27 336 | 0.55 |
Full fat cotton | 6 454 | 0.15 | 10 241 | 0.23 | 11 952 | 0.24 |
Canola oilcake | 5 344 | 0.12 | 4 330 | 0.10 | 1 231 | 0.02 |
Full fat canola | 1 218 | 0.03 | 3 757 | 0.08 | 1 327 | 0.03 |
Total oilcake | 907 582 | 21.04 | 1 063 945 | 24.67 | 1 127 178 | 22.74 |
Total maize products | 2 387 611 | 53.51 | 2 428 502 | 54.05 | 2 589 157 | 52.24 |
Total fishmeal | 78 284 | 1.82 | 37 871 | 0.88 | 28 216 | 0.57 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
AFMA raw material usage April 2006 to March 2007.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) | Imported fishmeal (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 |
RSA | 95 000 | 75 000 | 105 000 | |||
Namibia | 6 000 | 12 000 | 6 000 | |||
Total | 101 000 | 87 000 | 111 000 | (-21 000) | (-27 000) | (-71 000) |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2006/2007 – Estimate
Local Oilcake production (ton) | Imported Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 |
Oilcake: | ||||||
Groundnuts oilcake | 1 391 | 2 515 | 1 659 | |||
Sunflower oilcake | 267 120 | 199 500 | 178 500 | 22 144 | 68 808 | |
Soy cake | 37 200 | 113 440 | 272 000 | 635 173 | 808 051 | |
– Full fat | 172 800 | 189 840 | 4 504 | 3 949 | ||
– Beans | ||||||
Cotton cake | 37 500 | 32 500 | 32 500 | 121 947 | 99 617 | |
– Full fat | 35 000 | 35 000 | 52 684 | 39 766 | ||
Other | 5 655 | 6 965 | ||||
Canola | 17 270 | 21 175 | 14 300 | |||
Lupins | 3 950 | 14 400 | 9 800 | |||
Copra & Palm Kernel | ||||||
Total | 572 231 | 608 370 | 508 759 | 842 107 | 1 027 156 | 991 242 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2005/2006 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Crop | 2003/2004 | 2004/2005 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
White maize | 6 371 000 | 5 805 000 | 6 540 700 | 4 187 400 | 4 315 000 |
Yellow maize | 3 019 000 | 3 677 000 | 4 909 300 | 2 430 600 | 2 810 000 |
Sorghum | 219 700 | 373 000 | 260 000 | 96 000 | 176 000 |
Groundnuts | 60 000 | 115 000 | 64 000 | 74 000 | 58 000 |
Sunflower | 642 075 | 648 000 | 620 000 | 520 000 | 300 000 |
Soybeans | 136 500 | 220 000 | 272 500 | 424 000 | 205 000 |
Cotton seed | 29 278 | 50 169 | 37 804 | 25 962 | 19 525 |
Wheat | 1 428 150 | 1 680 000 | 1 905 000 | 2 105 000 | 1 772 550 |
Sweet lupins | 4 040 | 3 950 | 14 100 | 14 400 | 13 300 |
Canola | 40 770 | 32 000 | 44 200 | 36 500 | 39 840 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth forecast for winter crops (20 December 2007) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2007/2008 marketing year (2 October 2007).
SAGIS; Cotton South Africa.
Crop | Opening stock | Imports to RSA | Production | Total supply |
---|---|---|---|---|
White maize | 1 630 000 | 10 000 | 4 315 000 | 5 955 000 |
Yellow maize | 440 000 | 1 650 000 | 2 810 000 | 4 900 000 |
Sorghum | 76 000 | 40 000 | 176 000 | 292 000 |
Groundnuts | 16 000 | 20 000 | 58 000 | 94 000 |
Sunflower | 162 000 | 8 000 | 300 000 | 470 000 |
Soybeans | 132 000 | 80 000 | 205 000 | 417 000 |
Wheat | 453 000 | 1 450 000 | 1 772 550 | 3 675 550 |
Canola | 9 600 | 0 | 39 840 | 49 440 |
Source: Opening stock, import, production and export figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8Ha planted | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crop | 2002/2003 | 2003/2004 | 2004/2005 | 2005/2006 | 2006/2007 | 2007/2008 |
White maize | 2 234 350 | 1 842 000 | 1 700 000 | 1 033 000 | 1 624 800 | 1 693 200 |
Yellow maize | 950 350 | 1 001 300 | 1 110 000 | 567 200 | 927 000 | 1 060 600 |
Sorghum | 95 100 | 130 000 | 86 500 | 37 150 | 69 000 | 90 000 |
Groundnuts | 49 850 | 71 500 | 40 000 | 48 550 | 40 770 | 54 000 |
Sunflower | 605 750 | 530 000 | 460 000 | 472 480 | 316 350 | 520 000 |
Soybeans | 100 150 | 135 000 | 150 000 | 240 570 | 183 000 | 165 000 |
Wheat | 941 100 | 748 000 | 830 000 | 805 000 | 764 800 | 632 000 |
Sweet lupins | 11 000 | 10 100 | 7 100 | 14 100 | 16 000 | 14 000 |
Canola | 33 000 | 44 200 | 44 250 | 40 200 | 34 700 | 33 200 |
Total | 5 020 650 | 4 512 100 | 4 427 850 | 3 258 250 | 3 976 420 | 4 262 000 |
National Crops Estimates Committee – Second intentions to plant summer crops 2007/2008 production season (27 November 2007). Fifth area estimate for winter crops 2006/2007 production season (20 December 2007).
Table 9Crop | Season |
White maize | May-April |
Yellow maize | May-April |
Sorghum | April-March |
Groundnuts | March-February |
Sunflower | January-December |
Soybeans | January-December |
Wheat | October-September |